Emerging Markets Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

EMRCX Fund  USD 11.94  0.03  0.25%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Emerging Markets' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Emerging Markets is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Emerging Markets Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio2.5200
  

Emerging Markets Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,230  in Emerging Markets Fund on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (36.00) from holding Emerging Markets Fund or give up 2.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Emerging Markets Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.8958% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Emerging, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerging Markets is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of volatility.

Emerging Markets Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.94
Please note that Emerging Markets' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Emerging Markets shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.06 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.94. We determine the value of Emerging Markets from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Emerging Markets is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Emerging Mutual Fund. However, Emerging Markets' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.94 Real  11.06 Hype  11.94 Naive  11.82
The intrinsic value of Emerging Markets' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Emerging Markets' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.06
Real Value
11.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Emerging Markets Fund helps investors to forecast how Emerging mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Emerging Markets more accurately as focusing exclusively on Emerging Markets' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6312.1012.57
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0411.9412.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.9211.8212.71
Details

Emerging Markets Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Emerging Markets' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Emerging Markets Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Emerging Markets' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0474

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Negative ReturnsEMRCX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.9
  actual daily
8
92% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Emerging Markets is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Emerging Markets by adding Emerging Markets to a well-diversified portfolio.

Emerging Markets Fundamentals Growth

Emerging Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Emerging Markets, and Emerging Markets fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Emerging Mutual Fund performance.

About Emerging Markets Performance

Evaluating Emerging Markets' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Emerging Markets has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Emerging Markets has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of companies that are organized in, maintain at least 50 percent of their assets in, or derive at least 50 percent of their revenues from, emerging market countries. The Adviser has broad discretion to identify countries that the funds manager considers to qualify as emerging markets.

Things to note about Emerging Markets performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Emerging Markets for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Emerging Markets generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Emerging Markets generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund retains 99.72% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Emerging Markets' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Emerging Markets' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Emerging Markets' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Emerging Markets' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Emerging Markets' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Emerging Markets' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Emerging Markets' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Emerging Markets' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Emerging Markets' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Emerging Markets' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Emerging Markets' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Emerging Mutual Fund

Emerging Markets financial ratios help investors to determine whether Emerging Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Emerging with respect to the benefits of owning Emerging Markets security.
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