Evolution Petroleum Stock Performance

EPM Stock  USD 4.34  0.09  2.03%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Evolution Petroleum holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.59, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Evolution Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Evolution Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Evolution Petroleum's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Evolution Petroleum's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Evolution Petroleum are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Evolution Petroleum displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.26
Five Day Return
(2.85)
Year To Date Return
21.7
Ten Year Return
7.26
All Time Return
(99.98)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1119
Payout Ratio
0.0489
Last Split Factor
1:40
Forward Dividend Rate
0.48
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
 
Evolution Petroleum dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
 
Evolution Petroleum dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
1
Evolution Petroleum Stock Price Up 0.9 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/12/2026
2
Evolution Petroleum Stock Crosses Below 50-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/21/2026
3
Decliners Report Can Evolution Petroleum Corporation outperform in the next rally - Quarterly Investment Review Fast Entry Momentum Trade Alerts - baoquankhu1.v...
01/26/2026
4
Movement Recap Will Evolution Petroleum Corporation announce a stock split - Weekly Gains Report Technical Buy Zone Confirmations - baoquankhu1.vn
02/03/2026
5
Evolution Petroleum Corporation declares 0.12 dividend
02/10/2026
6
Evolution Petroleum Corp Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Strong EBITDA Growth Amid ...
02/11/2026
7
Evolution Petroleum Earnings See Margin Gains That Test Bullish Cost Narrative - simplywall.st
02/13/2026
8
Disposition of 8910 shares by Bunch John Mark of Evolution Petroleum at 4.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-21.6 M

Evolution Petroleum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  381.00  in Evolution Petroleum on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  53.00  from holding Evolution Petroleum or generate 13.91% return on investment over 90 days. Evolution Petroleum is generating 0.2475% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.4851% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Evolution, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Evolution Petroleum is expected to generate 3.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Evolution Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Evolution Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.34 90 days 4.34 
nearly 4.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Evolution Petroleum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.46 (This Evolution Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Evolution Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Evolution Petroleum has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Evolution Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Evolution Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Evolution Petroleum has an alpha of 0.145, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Evolution Petroleum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Evolution Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evolution Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.904.396.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.144.637.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.994.486.97
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.685.145.70
Details

Evolution Petroleum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Evolution Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Evolution Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Evolution Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Evolution Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Evolution Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Evolution Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Evolution Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 31st of December 2025 Evolution Petroleum paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Evolution Petroleum Earnings See Margin Gains That Test Bullish Cost Narrative - simplywall.st

Evolution Petroleum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Evolution Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Evolution Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evolution Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 M

Evolution Petroleum Fundamentals Growth

Evolution Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Evolution Petroleum, and Evolution Petroleum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Evolution Stock performance.

About Evolution Petroleum Performance

By examining Evolution Petroleum's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Evolution Petroleum's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Evolution Petroleum is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 74.87  40.23 
Return On Tangible Assets-1.1 K-1.1 K
Return On Capital Employed 1.60  1.68 
Return On Assets-1.1 K-1.1 K
Return On Equity 1.71  1.80 

Things to note about Evolution Petroleum performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Evolution Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Evolution Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 31st of December 2025 Evolution Petroleum paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Evolution Petroleum Earnings See Margin Gains That Test Bullish Cost Narrative - simplywall.st
Evaluating Evolution Petroleum's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Evolution Petroleum's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Evolution Petroleum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Evolution Petroleum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Evolution Petroleum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Evolution Petroleum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Evolution Petroleum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Evolution Petroleum's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Evolution Petroleum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Evolution Petroleum's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Evolution Petroleum's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Evolution Petroleum is a strong investment it is important to analyze Evolution Petroleum's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Evolution Petroleum's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Evolution Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evolution Petroleum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Evolution diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Petroleum. Projected growth potential of Evolution fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Evolution Petroleum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
Dividend Share
0.48
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
2.545
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.02
The market value of Evolution Petroleum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Petroleum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Evolution Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Evolution Petroleum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Evolution Petroleum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Evolution Petroleum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.