Evolution Petroleum Stock Performance
| EPM Stock | USD 3.83 0.04 1.06% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.46, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Evolution Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Evolution Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Evolution Petroleum has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm Evolution Petroleum's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Evolution Petroleum performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Evolution Petroleum has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more
| Evolution Petroleum dividend paid on 15th of December 2025 | 12/15/2025 |
| Evolution Petroleum dividend paid on 31st of December 2025 | 12/31/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 6.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -21.6 M |
Evolution | Build AI portfolio with Evolution Stock |
Evolution Petroleum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 429.00 in Evolution Petroleum on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (46.00) from holding Evolution Petroleum or give up 10.72% of portfolio value over 90 days. Evolution Petroleum is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.3905% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Evolution, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Evolution Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Evolution Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.83 | 90 days | 3.83 | about 45.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Evolution Petroleum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.73 (This Evolution Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Evolution Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Evolution Petroleum has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Evolution Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Evolution Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Evolution Petroleum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Evolution Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Evolution Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evolution Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Evolution Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Evolution Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Evolution Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Evolution Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Evolution Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Evolution Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Evolution Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Evolution Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Evolution Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Evolution Petroleum paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Evolution Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Evolution Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Evolution Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evolution Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M |
Evolution Petroleum Fundamentals Growth
Evolution Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Evolution Petroleum, and Evolution Petroleum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Evolution Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0031 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0104 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 186.38 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 35 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 8.06 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.94 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.60 X | |||
| Revenue | 85.84 M | |||
| EBITDA | 26.83 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.51 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.25 X | |||
| Total Debt | 37.57 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.05 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 33.05 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.01) X | |||
| Total Asset | 160.25 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | 25.13 M | |||
| Current Asset | 37.09 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 8.53 M | |||
About Evolution Petroleum Performance
By examining Evolution Petroleum's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Evolution Petroleum's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Evolution Petroleum is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an energy company, engages in the development, production, ownership, and exploitation of onshore oil and gas properties in the United States. Evolution Petroleum Corporation was founded in 2003 and is based in Houston, Texas. Evolution Petroleum operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. It employs 8 people.Things to note about Evolution Petroleum performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Evolution Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Evolution Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Evolution Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Evolution Petroleum paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
- Analyzing Evolution Petroleum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Evolution Petroleum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Evolution Petroleum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Evolution Petroleum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Evolution Petroleum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Evolution Petroleum's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Evolution Petroleum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evolution Petroleum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Evolution diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Petroleum. Projected growth potential of Evolution fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Evolution Petroleum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Evolution Petroleum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Petroleum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Evolution Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Evolution Petroleum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Evolution Petroleum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Evolution Petroleum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.