Erste Group (Czech Republic) Performance

ERBAG Stock  CZK 2,463  117.00  4.53%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Erste Group holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Erste Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Erste Group is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Erste Group's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Erste Group's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Erste Group Bank are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Erste Group reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Price Earnings Ratio7.6427
Dividend Yield0.0466
Payout Ratio0.0176
  

Erste Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  213,100  in Erste Group Bank on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  33,200  from holding Erste Group Bank or generate 15.58% return on investment over 90 days. Erste Group Bank is generating 0.2495% of daily returns and assumes 1.2623% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Erste, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Erste Group is expected to generate 1.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Erste Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Erste Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,463 90 days 2,463 
about 42.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Erste Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.09 (This Erste Group Bank probability density function shows the probability of Erste Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Erste Group has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Erste Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Erste Group Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Erste Group Bank has an alpha of 0.1757, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Erste Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Erste Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Erste Group Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,4622,4632,464
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,2172,6822,683
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Erste Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Erste Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Erste Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Erste Group Bank.

Erste Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Erste Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Erste Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Erste Group Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Erste Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
165.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Erste Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Erste Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Erste Group Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Erste Group Bank has accumulated about 15.74 B in cash with (7.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 38.82.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Erste Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Erste Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Erste Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Erste Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0466
Forward Annual Dividend Rate39.44
Shares Float327 M

Erste Group Fundamentals Growth

Erste Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Erste Group, and Erste Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Erste Stock performance.

About Erste Group Performance

Assessing Erste Group's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Erste Group's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Erste Group is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Erste Group Bank AG provides a range of banking and other financial services to retail, corporate, real estate, and public sector customers in Austria, Central and Eastern Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1819 and is headquartered in Vienna, Austria. ERSTE GROUP operates under BanksRegional classification in Exotistan and is traded on Commodity Exchange. It employs 45411 people.

Things to note about Erste Group Bank performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Erste Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Erste Group Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Erste Group Bank has accumulated about 15.74 B in cash with (7.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 38.82.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Erste Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Erste Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Erste Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Erste Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Erste Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Erste Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Erste Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Erste Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Erste Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Erste Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Erste Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Erste Stock Analysis

When running Erste Group's price analysis, check to measure Erste Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erste Group is operating at the current time. Most of Erste Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erste Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erste Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erste Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.