ERG SA (Poland) Performance
| ERG Stock | 45.00 1.00 2.27% |
ERG SA has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.43, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ERG SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ERG SA is expected to be smaller as well. ERG SA now shows a risk of 2.4%. Please confirm ERG SA downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if ERG SA will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ERG SA are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, ERG SA may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -981 K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 4.2 M |
ERG |
ERG SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,300 in ERG SA on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 200.00 from holding ERG SA or generate 4.65% return on investment over 90 days. ERG SA is generating 0.1077% of daily returns and assumes 2.3983% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 21% of stocks are less volatile than ERG, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ERG SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ERG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 45.00 | 90 days | 45.00 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ERG SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This ERG SA probability density function shows the probability of ERG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ERG SA has a beta of 0.43 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ERG SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ERG SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ERG SA has an alpha of 0.0738, implying that it can generate a 0.0738 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ERG SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ERG SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ERG SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ERG SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ERG SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ERG SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ERG SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ERG SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ERG SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
ERG SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ERG SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ERG SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ERG SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ERG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ERG SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ERG SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 763.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
ERG SA Fundamentals Growth
ERG Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ERG SA, and ERG SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ERG Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.081 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0276 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 58.55 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 744.22 K | |||
| Price To Book | 0.89 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.31 X | |||
| Revenue | 80.79 M | |||
| EBITDA | 6.75 M | |||
| Total Debt | 1.86 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 53.73 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 5.64 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.40 X | |||
| Total Asset | 61.3 M | |||
About ERG SA Performance
Assessing ERG SA's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ERG SA's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ERG SA is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Things to note about ERG SA performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ERG SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ERG SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing ERG SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ERG SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ERG SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ERG SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ERG SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ERG SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ERG SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for ERG Stock Analysis
When running ERG SA's price analysis, check to measure ERG SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ERG SA is operating at the current time. Most of ERG SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ERG SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ERG SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ERG SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.