Invesco European Small Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ESMYX Fund  USD 13.62  0.37  2.79%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.0, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Invesco European returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco European is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco European Small are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Invesco European showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Invesco European Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  877.00  in Invesco European Small on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  485.00  from holding Invesco European Small or generate 55.3% return on investment over 90 days. Invesco European Small is currently producing 0.8564% returns and takes up 5.8618% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 52% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Invesco, and 83% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco European is expected to generate 7.16 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Invesco European Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
13.62
Please note that Invesco European's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Invesco European Small retains a regular Real Value of $14.05 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $13.62. We determine the value of Invesco European Small from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Invesco European is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Invesco Mutual Fund. However, Invesco European's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.62 Real  14.05 Hype  13.62 Naive  14.33
The intrinsic value of Invesco European's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Invesco European's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
14.05
Real Value
19.91
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Invesco European Small helps investors to forecast how Invesco mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Invesco European more accurately as focusing exclusively on Invesco European's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.6111.7715.92
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7613.6219.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.4714.3320.19
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Invesco European Small extending back to October 06, 2008. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Invesco European stands at 13.62, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 13.62 and the lowest price hitting 13.62 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Invesco European Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.62 90 days 13.62 
about 12.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco European to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.54 (This Invesco European Small probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco European has a beta of 1.0 suggesting Invesco European Small market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco European is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco European Small has an alpha of 0.7025, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco European Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco European

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco European Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco European's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7613.6219.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.1914.0519.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.4714.3320.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.6111.7715.92
Details

Invesco European Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco European is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco European's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco European Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco European within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Invesco European Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco European for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco European Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco European is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Invesco European appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The fund retains about 8.05% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Invesco European Fundamentals Growth

Invesco Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Invesco European, and Invesco European fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Invesco Mutual Fund performance.

About Invesco European Performance

Evaluating Invesco European's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Invesco European has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Invesco European has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of small-capitalization issuers, and in derivatives and other instruments that have economic characteristics similar to such securities. The principal types of equity securities in which the fund invests are common and preferred stock. The fund can also invest in depositary receipts, rights and warrants.

Things to note about Invesco European Small performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco European for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Invesco European Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco European is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Invesco European appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The fund retains about 8.05% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Invesco European's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Invesco European's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Invesco European's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Invesco European's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Invesco European's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Invesco European's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Invesco European's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Invesco European's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Invesco European's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Invesco European's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Invesco European's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco European financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco European security.
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