Ethereum Performance

ETH Crypto  USD 2,924  25.34  0.86%   
The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0834, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ethereum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ethereum is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ethereum has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's technical indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Ethereum shareholders. ...more
1
Retail Traders Left Exposed in High-Stakes Crypto Treasury Deals - Bloomberg.com
11/14/2025
2
US bank regulator says banks can act as crypto intermediaries - Reuters
12/09/2025
3
Grayscale predicts 2026 will be dawn of the institutional era for crypto CNBC Crypto World - CNBC
12/29/2025
4
DeFi, ethics disputes remain in Senate crypto bill ahead of Jan. 15 vote - CoinDesk
01/06/2026
5
Crypto crowd could still walk away from U.S. market structure bill if DeFi needs unmet - CoinDesk
01/09/2026
6
Bitcoin Price Jumps Above 97,000, XRP Surges. Why This Crypto Rally Can Roll. - Barrons
01/14/2026
  

Ethereum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  380,435  in Ethereum on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (88,048) from holding Ethereum or give up 23.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ethereum is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.8844% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 34% of all crypto coins have less volatile historical return distribution than Ethereum, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ethereum is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Ethereum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ethereum Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,924 90 days 2,924 
about 79.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ethereum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.83 (This Ethereum probability density function shows the probability of Ethereum Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ethereum has a beta of 0.0834 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ethereum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ethereum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ethereum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ethereum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ethereum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ethereum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9202,9242,928
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6182,6223,216
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,6982,7022,706
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,7663,0763,385
Details

Ethereum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ethereum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ethereum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ethereum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ethereum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
289.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Ethereum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ethereum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ethereum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ethereum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ethereum has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bitcoin Price Jumps Above 97,000, XRP Surges. Why This Crypto Rally Can Roll. - Barrons

About Ethereum Performance

By analyzing Ethereum's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ethereum's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ethereum has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ethereum has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ethereum is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
Ethereum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ethereum has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bitcoin Price Jumps Above 97,000, XRP Surges. Why This Crypto Rally Can Roll. - Barrons
When determining whether Ethereum offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ethereum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ethereum Crypto.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ethereum. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ethereum's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Ethereum value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Ethereum's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.