Expand Energy Stock Performance

EXEEW Stock   102.52  4.34  4.06%   
Expand Energy holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 95.0, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Expand Energy will likely underperform. Use Expand Energy jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Expand Energy.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Expand Energy are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Expand Energy showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(14.51)
Five Day Return
1.77
Year To Date Return
1.55
Ten Year Return
76.05
All Time Return
76.05
1
Why analysts upgrade Expand Energy Corporation stock - Portfolio Growth Summary Community Shared Stock Ideas - newser.com
11/12/2025
2
Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Expand Energy Stock - Barchart.com
11/20/2025
3
Stocks Finish Powerful Week Vertiv, Expand Energy, JPMorgan Chase In Focus - Investors Business Daily
11/28/2025
4
Expand Energy Corporation EXE Stock Holdings Lifted by Hsbc Holdings PLC - MarketBeat
12/01/2025
5
Sanmina Stock Slumps on Dec. 16, 2025 After Houston Energy Factory Expansion and Konar Transformer Deal - ts2.tech
12/16/2025
6
Expand Energy Corporation Exceeds Expectations Key Insights - StocksToTrade
12/23/2025
7
Analysts Raise Price Targets on Expand Energy , Keep Buy Rating - Insider Monkey
01/07/2026
8
Talen Energy Stock Jumps on 3.5 Billion Deal to Enhance Data-Center Offerings - Barrons
01/15/2026
9
Expand Energy price target cut to 137 at Piper Sandler - MSN
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.9 B

Expand Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,013  in Expand Energy on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (327.00) from holding Expand Energy or give up 2.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Expand Energy is currently producing 14.4398% returns and takes up 128.9386% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Expand, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Expand Energy is expected to generate 157.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 157.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Expand Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Expand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 102.52 90 days 102.52 
about 60.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expand Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.79 (This Expand Energy probability density function shows the probability of Expand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Expand Energy will likely underperform. In addition to that Expand Energy has an alpha of 18745.1805, implying that it can generate a 18745.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Expand Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Expand Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expand Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expand Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.7995.8810,348
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.01100.2910,352
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.8391.42220.36
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
87.3696.00106.56
Details

Expand Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expand Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expand Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expand Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expand Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
18,745
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
13.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Expand Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expand Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expand Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expand Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Expand Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 4.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (714 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.66 B.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Expand Energy price target cut to 137 at Piper Sandler - MSN

Expand Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Expand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Expand Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expand Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157 M
Cash And Short Term Investments317 M

Expand Energy Fundamentals Growth

Expand Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Expand Energy, and Expand Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Expand Stock performance.

About Expand Energy Performance

Evaluating Expand Energy's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Expand Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Expand Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 3.01  2.86 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.04)(0.03)

Things to note about Expand Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Expand Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Expand Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expand Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Expand Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 4.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (714 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.66 B.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Expand Energy price target cut to 137 at Piper Sandler - MSN
Evaluating Expand Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Expand Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Expand Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Expand Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Expand Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Expand Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Expand Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Expand Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Expand Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Expand Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Expand Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Expand Stock Analysis

When running Expand Energy's price analysis, check to measure Expand Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expand Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Expand Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expand Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expand Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expand Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.