Expedia Group Stock Performance

EXPE Stock  USD 241.54  5.09  2.15%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.9, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Expedia will likely underperform. At this point, Expedia Group has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to confirm Expedia's downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Expedia Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Expedia Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.15
Five Day Return
2.49
Year To Date Return
(14.63)
Ten Year Return
156
All Time Return
927.39
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0068
Payout Ratio
0.1303
Last Split Factor
1:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Dividend Date
2025-12-11
1
Disposition of 856 shares by Lance Soliday of Expedia at 256.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
 
Expedia dividend paid on 11th of December 2025
12/11/2025
2
Expedia Group, Inc. EXPE Shares Acquired by Massachusetts Financial Services Co. MA
01/21/2026
3
Resona Asset Management Co. Ltd. Decreases Stake in Expedia Group, Inc. EXPE
01/27/2026
4
Families of 3 Massachusetts women who died at Belize resort file 100m lawsuit against hotel, Expedia report
02/03/2026
5
Alexa, Amazons AI assistant, is now available to everyone in the U.S.
02/04/2026
6
Expedia to cut 100 jobs from Austin offices starting April 1
02/05/2026
7
Expedia Group Price Target Lowered to 260.00 at Wedbush
02/06/2026
8
Bond market, February movers, jobs report Market Takeaways
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow5.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 B

Expedia Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  26,690  in Expedia Group on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,536) from holding Expedia Group or give up 9.5% of portfolio value over 90 days. Expedia Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0746% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Expedia, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Expedia is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Expedia Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Expedia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 241.54 90 days 241.54 
about 89.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expedia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.96 (This Expedia Group probability density function shows the probability of Expedia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Expedia will likely underperform. Additionally Expedia Group has an alpha of 0.0888, implying that it can generate a 0.0888 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Expedia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Expedia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expedia Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
238.89241.96245.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
217.39246.18249.25
Details
37 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
263.42289.47321.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.874.525.09
Details

Expedia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expedia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expedia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expedia Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expedia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
20.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Expedia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expedia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expedia Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expedia Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Expedia Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Expedia Group currently holds 6.53 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.76, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Expedia Group has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Expedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Expedia Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of Expedia shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bond market, February movers, jobs report Market Takeaways

Expedia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Expedia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Expedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding137.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 B

Expedia Fundamentals Growth

Expedia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Expedia, and Expedia fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Expedia Stock performance.

About Expedia Performance

By analyzing Expedia's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Expedia's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Expedia has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Expedia has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.71  0.75 

Things to note about Expedia Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Expedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Expedia Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expedia Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Expedia Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Expedia Group currently holds 6.53 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.76, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Expedia Group has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Expedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Expedia Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of Expedia shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bond market, February movers, jobs report Market Takeaways
Evaluating Expedia's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Expedia's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Expedia's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Expedia's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Expedia's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Expedia's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Expedia's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Expedia's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Expedia's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Expedia's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Expedia's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Expedia's price analysis, check to measure Expedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expedia is operating at the current time. Most of Expedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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