Falcon Oil (Germany) Performance

FAC Stock  EUR 0.15  0.01  7.14%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Falcon Oil holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.87, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Falcon Oil are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Falcon Oil is expected to outperform it slightly. Please check Falcon Oil's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Falcon Oil's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Falcon Oil Gas are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Falcon Oil reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Falcon Oil Gas Gets Shareholder Approval for Sale of Majority Stake in Falcon Australia -
01/05/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowM
Free Cash Flow-9.2 M
  

Falcon Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11.00  in Falcon Oil Gas on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4.00  from holding Falcon Oil Gas or generate 36.36% return on investment over 90 days. Falcon Oil Gas is currently producing 0.5883% returns and takes up 4.0183% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 36% of traded stocks are less volatile than Falcon, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falcon Oil is expected to generate 5.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Falcon Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Falcon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.15 90 days 0.15 
about 11.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falcon Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.41 (This Falcon Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Falcon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falcon Oil Gas has a beta of -0.87. This usually indicates Additionally Falcon Oil Gas has an alpha of 0.6091, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Falcon Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Falcon Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falcon Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.164.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.124.17
Details

Falcon Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falcon Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falcon Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falcon Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falcon Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.87
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Falcon Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falcon Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falcon Oil Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Falcon Oil Gas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Falcon Oil Gas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Falcon Oil Gas has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63 K.
Falcon Oil Gas has accumulated about 6.44 M in cash with (2.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Enel SpA Given Average Recommendation of Reduce by Analysts - MarketBeat

Falcon Oil Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Falcon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Falcon Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Falcon Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Shares Float945.1 M

Falcon Oil Fundamentals Growth

Falcon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Falcon Oil, and Falcon Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Falcon Stock performance.

About Falcon Oil Performance

By analyzing Falcon Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Falcon Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Falcon Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Falcon Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Falcon Oil Gas Ltd., an oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of unconventional oil and gas assets in Australia, Hungary, and South Africa. Falcon Oil Gas Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland. FALCON OIL is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

Things to note about Falcon Oil Gas performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Falcon Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Falcon Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Falcon Oil Gas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Falcon Oil Gas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Falcon Oil Gas has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63 K.
Falcon Oil Gas has accumulated about 6.44 M in cash with (2.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Enel SpA Given Average Recommendation of Reduce by Analysts - MarketBeat
Evaluating Falcon Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Falcon Oil's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Falcon Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Falcon Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Falcon Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Falcon Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Falcon Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Falcon Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Falcon Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Falcon Oil's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Falcon Oil's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Falcon Stock analysis

When running Falcon Oil's price analysis, check to measure Falcon Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falcon Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Falcon Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falcon Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falcon Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falcon Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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