First Bancorp Stock Performance

FBNC Stock  USD 62.23  1.29  2.12%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Bancorp holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.99, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Bancorp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Bancorp is expected to follow. Please check First Bancorp's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Bancorp's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, First Bancorp exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.12
Five Day Return
7.02
Year To Date Return
22.24
Ten Year Return
234.39
All Time Return
1.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0158
Payout Ratio
0.2327
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
0.96
Dividend Date
2026-01-25
1
Why analysts recommend First BanCorp. New stock - July 2025 Review AI Optimized Trade Strategies - newser.com
11/13/2025
2
Triumph Financial, Old National Bank, Glacier Bancorp, and First BanCorp Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know - Yahoo Finance
12/10/2025
3
Acquisition by Mclamb Carlie C Jr of 811 shares of First Bancorp at 30.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
4
Disposition of 1900 shares by Michael Mayer of First Bancorp at 52.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/24/2025
5
Disposition of 270 shares by Elizabeth Bostian of First Bancorp at 50.79 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
6
Disposition of 107 shares by Christian Wilson of First Bancorp at 51.96 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
7
3 Reasons to Avoid FBNC and 1 Stock to Buy Instead - Finviz
01/06/2026
8
First BanCorp. Stock Price Crosses Above 200-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat
01/09/2026
9
Disposition of 3545 shares by Richard Moore of First Bancorp at .67 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/13/2026
10
First BanCorp. Upgraded at Piper Sandler - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
11
Assessing First Bancorps Valuation After Strong 2025 Earnings And Rising Investor Interest
01/22/2026
12
How Q4 2025 Profitability Amid Higher Provisions At First Bancorp Has Changed Its Investment Story - simplywall.st
01/26/2026
13
Disposition of 600 shares by Capel Mary Clara of First Bancorp at 56.909 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
14
Disposition of 2642 shares by Capel Mary Clara of First Bancorp at 57.747 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
15
Disposition of 5000 shares by Capel Mary Clara of First Bancorp at 59.3108 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
16
First Bancorp Is Up 5.0 percent After Strong 2025 Earnings, Dividend Hike And Board Transition
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow237.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities169.7 M

First Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,074  in First Bancorp on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,149  from holding First Bancorp or generate 22.64% return on investment over 90 days. First Bancorp is currently generating 0.3502% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.7431% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancorp is expected to generate 2.13 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.13 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

First Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 62.23 90 days 62.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This First Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancorp has a beta of 0.99. This usually indicates First Bancorp market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Bancorp is expected to follow. Additionally First Bancorp has an alpha of 0.2759, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.3763.1164.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.1967.0568.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.0259.7761.51
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.7064.5071.60
Details

First Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
3.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

First Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
First Bancorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: First Bancorp Is Up 5.0 percent After Strong 2025 Earnings, Dividend Hike And Board Transition

First Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

First Bancorp Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Bancorp, and First Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Bancorp Performance

By analyzing First Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Bancorp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Bancorp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.11 

Things to note about First Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
First Bancorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: First Bancorp Is Up 5.0 percent After Strong 2025 Earnings, Dividend Hike And Board Transition
Evaluating First Bancorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Bancorp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Bancorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Bancorp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Bancorp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running First Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure First Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of First Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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