Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin Etf Performance

FBTC Etf   30.86  1.52  5.18%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.48, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fidelity Advantage will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the ETF investors. ...more
1
Data Bitcoin spot ETF saw a total net inflow of 21.12 million yesterday, with only Fidelity FBTC experiencing a net outflow. - Bitget
11/26/2025
2
Bitcoin ETF Jitters Fidelitys FBTC Sees Fresh Outflows as Crypto Slump Deepens - TipRanks
12/30/2025
3
Bitcoin ETF Investors Hit the Brakes as Fidelitys FBTC Sees 66.6 Million Walk Out - TipRanks
01/06/2026
4
Bitcoin Moves With The Macro How ETFs Turned BTC Into A Fed-Watching Asset - Benzinga
01/13/2026
5
Fidelitys FBTC Faces Gentle Outflow as Bitcoin Slide Weighs on Nerves, Not Conviction - TipRanks
01/28/2026
6
Bitcoin ETF suffers worst decline in over a year and new investors are now sitting on ugly losses - MarketWatch
02/05/2026
7
FBTC Bitcoins 5 Red Candles And A Dream - Seeking Alpha
02/11/2026
  

Fidelity Advantage Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,280  in Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,194) from holding Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin or give up 27.9% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.4647% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 31% of etfs are less volatile than Fidelity, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fidelity Advantage is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin extending back to December 02, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Fidelity Advantage stands at 30.86, as last reported on the 16th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 31.10 and the lowest price hitting 30.00 during the day.
3 y Volatility
49.9
200 Day MA
47.0254
1 y Volatility
34.1
50 Day MA
39.016
Inception Date
2021-11-30
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Fidelity Advantage Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fidelity Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.86 90 days 30.86 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Advantage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.48 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fidelity Advantage will likely underperform. Additionally Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fidelity Advantage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Advantage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Advantage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.8631.3234.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9328.3931.85
Details

Fidelity Advantage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Advantage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Advantage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Advantage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.48
σ
Overall volatility
4.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Fidelity Advantage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Advantage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Advantage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidelity Advantage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fidelity Advantage has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: FBTC Bitcoins 5 Red Candles And A Dream - Seeking Alpha

Fidelity Advantage Fundamentals Growth

Fidelity Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fidelity Advantage, and Fidelity Advantage fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fidelity Etf performance.

About Fidelity Advantage Performance

By examining Fidelity Advantage's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fidelity Advantage's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fidelity Advantage is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Fidelity Advantage is entity of Canada. It is traded as Etf on TO exchange.
Fidelity Advantage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fidelity Advantage has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: FBTC Bitcoins 5 Red Candles And A Dream - Seeking Alpha

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Etf

Fidelity Advantage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Advantage security.