Firstwave Cloud (Australia) Performance

FCT Stock   0.01  0  28.57%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.85, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Firstwave Cloud are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Firstwave Cloud is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, Firstwave Cloud Tech has a negative expected return of -1.05%. Please make sure to confirm Firstwave Cloud's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Firstwave Cloud Tech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Firstwave Cloud Technology has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:1506
Last Split Date
2015-11-16
1
FirstWave Unveils AI-Powered Security Compliance Software - TipRanks
11/24/2025
2
FirstWave Cloud Technology Announces Change in Substantial Holders - TipRanks
12/11/2025
3
BuzzFeed, the Guardian and more back new ad system for clearer online ads - Stock Titan
01/06/2026
4
FirstWave Grants 20 Million Share Appreciation Rights to Director David Garnier - The Globe and Mail
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.1 M
  

Firstwave Cloud Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1.20  in Firstwave Cloud Technology on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (0.70) from holding Firstwave Cloud Technology or give up 58.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Firstwave Cloud Technology is producing return of less than zero assuming 8.532% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 76% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Firstwave Cloud, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Firstwave Cloud is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.45 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Firstwave Cloud Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Firstwave Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Firstwave Cloud to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Firstwave Cloud Technology probability density function shows the probability of Firstwave Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Firstwave Cloud Technology has a beta of -0.85. This usually indicates Additionally Firstwave Cloud Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Firstwave Cloud Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Firstwave Cloud

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firstwave Cloud Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.018.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0008.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00008508.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Firstwave Cloud Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firstwave Cloud is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firstwave Cloud's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firstwave Cloud Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firstwave Cloud within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Firstwave Cloud Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Firstwave Cloud for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Firstwave Cloud Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Firstwave Cloud Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Firstwave Cloud Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Firstwave Cloud Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Firstwave Cloud Tech has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 8.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.7 M.
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: FirstWave Grants 20 Million Share Appreciation Rights to Director David Garnier - The Globe and Mail

Firstwave Cloud Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Firstwave Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Firstwave Cloud's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firstwave Cloud's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments364 K

Firstwave Cloud Fundamentals Growth

Firstwave Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Firstwave Cloud, and Firstwave Cloud fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Firstwave Stock performance.

About Firstwave Cloud Performance

Assessing Firstwave Cloud's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Firstwave Cloud's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Firstwave Cloud is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Firstwave Cloud is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange.

Things to note about Firstwave Cloud Tech performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Firstwave Cloud for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Firstwave Cloud Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Firstwave Cloud Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Firstwave Cloud Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Firstwave Cloud Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Firstwave Cloud Tech has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 8.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.7 M.
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: FirstWave Grants 20 Million Share Appreciation Rights to Director David Garnier - The Globe and Mail
Evaluating Firstwave Cloud's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Firstwave Cloud's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Firstwave Cloud's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Firstwave Cloud's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Firstwave Cloud's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Firstwave Cloud's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Firstwave Cloud's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Firstwave Cloud's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Firstwave Cloud's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Firstwave Cloud's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Firstwave Cloud's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Firstwave Stock Analysis

When running Firstwave Cloud's price analysis, check to measure Firstwave Cloud's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firstwave Cloud is operating at the current time. Most of Firstwave Cloud's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firstwave Cloud's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firstwave Cloud's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firstwave Cloud to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.