Fact Inc Stock Performance

FCTI Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Fact holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.14, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fact will likely underperform. Use Fact variance, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Fact.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fact Inc are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak basic indicators, Fact demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow46.00
Free Cash Flow-435.5 K
  

Fact Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  0.01  in Fact Inc on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.01  from holding Fact Inc or generate 100.0% return on investment over 90 days. Fact Inc is currently generating 4.0323% in daily expected returns and assumes 38.7281% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Fact, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fact is expected to generate 52.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 52.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Fact Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fact Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 0.0002 
about 41.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fact to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.94 (This Fact Inc probability density function shows the probability of Fact Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.14 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fact will likely underperform. In addition to that Fact Inc has an alpha of 3.6683, implying that it can generate a 3.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fact Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fact

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fact Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fact's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000238.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000238.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000060.000338.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00030.00030.0003
Details

Fact Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fact is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fact's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fact Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fact within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.0001
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Fact Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fact for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fact Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fact Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Fact Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Fact Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fact Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.8 K.
Fact Inc currently holds about 195 in cash with (435.45 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Asian Financial Forum Concludes Successfully in Hong Kong, Gathering over 4,000 Global Business Leaders and Officials

Fact Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fact Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fact's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fact's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9945.00
Shares Float23.1 M
Short Long Term Debt Total125 K

Fact Fundamentals Growth

Fact Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fact, and Fact fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fact Pink Sheet performance.

About Fact Performance

By evaluating Fact's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Fact's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Fact has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fact has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Fact, Inc. engages in the art verification and authentication, sports memorabilia, and fine art businesses. As of October 5, 2020, Fact, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Kryptos Art Technologies, Inc. FACT INC is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Fact Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fact for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Fact Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fact Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Fact Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Fact Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fact Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.8 K.
Fact Inc currently holds about 195 in cash with (435.45 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Asian Financial Forum Concludes Successfully in Hong Kong, Gathering over 4,000 Global Business Leaders and Officials
Evaluating Fact's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fact's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Fact's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fact's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fact's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fact's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fact's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fact's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Fact's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fact's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fact's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Fact's price analysis, check to measure Fact's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fact is operating at the current time. Most of Fact's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fact's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fact's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fact to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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