First Trust Short Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FDHAX Fund  USD 18.13  0.02  0.11%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0092, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Short are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio1.2500
  

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,770  in First Trust Short on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  43.00  from holding First Trust Short or generate 2.43% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Short is currently producing 0.0382% returns and takes up 0.1507% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Trust is expected to generate 3.61 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 5.17 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

First Trust Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
18.13
Please note that First Trust's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. First Trust Short shows a prevailing Real Value of $16.64 per share. The current price of the fund is $18.13. We determine the value of First Trust Short from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since First Trust is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of First Mutual Fund. However, First Trust's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  18.13 Real  16.64 Hype  18.13 Naive  18.06
The intrinsic value of First Trust's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence First Trust's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
16.64
Real Value
19.94
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of First Trust Short helps investors to forecast how First mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of First Trust more accurately as focusing exclusively on First Trust's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.0818.1218.17
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.9818.1318.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.9218.0618.21
Details

First Trust Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as First Trust Short, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a First Trust's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2536

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Negative ReturnsFDHAX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.15
  actual daily
1
99% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.25
  actual daily
19
81% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average First Trust is performing at about 19% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of First Trust by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset137.34 M

About First Trust Performance

Evaluating First Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in high yield debt securities and bank loans that are rated below-investment grade or unrated. It has a short duration investment strategy, which seeks to maintain, under normal market conditions, a blended portfolio duration of three years or less. Under normal market conditions, the fund may invest up to 15 percent of its net assets in non-U.S. securities denominated in non-U.S. currencies.

Things to note about First Trust Short performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for First Trust Short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 7.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating First Trust's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Trust's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing First Trust's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Trust's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Trust's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Trust's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Trust's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Trust's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into First Trust's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Trust's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Trust's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund

First Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trust security.
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