Fidelity Crypto Industry ETF Performance

FDIG ETF  USD 40.78  -0.04  -0.1%   
Fidelity Crypto has performed against its sector and the broad market over time. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.0141%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
For the recent 90-day horizon, Fidelity Crypto Industry failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. Fidelity Crypto is delivering weak return efficiency relative to its risk profile. Current price dislocation suggests continued near-term downside pressure for stockholders. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 4,203 in Fidelity Crypto Industry on January 26, 2026 and sold it today you would have lost $ 125.00 from holding Fidelity Crypto Industry or given up 2.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fidelity Crypto Industry is currently generating a 0.0141% daily expected return and carries 3.5353% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Fidelity exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 69% of comparable etfs, and FDIG has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given a 90-day horizon, FDIG generates 3.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, FDIG is 3.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.0% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For Fidelity ETF, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful forecasting baseline. Investors have relied on this tendency for decades, though persistent mispricings in some instruments suggest additional risk factors. Certain ETFs show persistent deviations from their intrinsic value estimates, typically explained by the risk investors bear. Applying mean reversion analysis to Fidelity ETF helps identify potential entry points when prices are extended.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
40.78 90 days 40.78
about 10.46
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of Fidelity Crypto moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 10.46 . Over this horizon, the return distribution for this ETF has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The curve highlights the price band where the market has recently concentrated expectations for Fidelity ETF over the next 90 days). A narrower shape indicates the market has recently priced Fidelity ETF into a more concentrated outcome range.
Given a 90-day horizon, the ETF has the beta coefficient of 2.55 . This usually indicates when the benchmark rises, FDIG tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Fidelity Crypto tends to underperform. Additionally, Fidelity Crypto Industry has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. FDIG is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fidelity Crypto Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Crypto

A variety of analytical techniques are available for forecasting Fidelity Crypto Industry and the broader ETF market. From technical pattern analysis to statistical models, each method contributes a different perspective on Fidelity Crypto Industry. A systematic comparison of model outputs provides context to form a more balanced perspective on Fidelity Crypto Industry. Refining forecasting methods over time can incrementally improve the quality of decisions made about Fidelity Crypto Industry.
The mean reversion principle applied to Fidelity Crypto's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of Fidelity Crypto's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal. The mean reversion tendency in Fidelity Crypto's price is a well-documented phenomenon in academic research. In many cases, Fidelity Crypto's price extremes present statistical patterns that have recurred historically.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
37.2540.7944.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
35.7639.3042.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.7741.3144.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.8136.8643.90
Details
Competitive analysis for Fidelity Crypto compares its financial performance and valuation metrics against sector peers. Cross-sectional comparison separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level dynamics. Fidelity Crypto's metrics are most informative when compared against the strongest and weakest performers in its sector. Cross-company comparison helps validate or challenge assumptions embedded in Fidelity Crypto's current valuation.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the ETF market, with Fidelity Crypto experiencing notable price swings. Fidelity Crypto has reflected this volatile environment with periods of significant price swings. Tracking shifts in Fidelity Crypto's fundamental risk indicators is one approach to mitigating this exposure. This risk data equips investors with the information needed to adjust Fidelity Crypto Industry exposure proactively.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0098
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.55
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0032

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for Fidelity Crypto give investors a structured way to monitor the ETF for material events. Fidelity Crypto Industry alerts cover shifts in fundamentals, technical conditions, and significant market-moving events. Alert frequency for Fidelity Crypto adjusts dynamically based on market volatility and event activity. Regularly reviewing Fidelity Crypto Industry alerts keeps investors aligned with evolving market conditions.
Fidelity Crypto had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Fidelity Crypto Fundamentals Growth

Fidelity ETF performance is fundamentally tied to Fidelity Crypto's financial health and growth outlook. Investors track revenue and earnings growth, margin stability, and balance sheet health for Fidelity ETF. The market prices Fidelity ETF according to Fidelity Crypto's ability to generate revenue and manage debt effectively. Investors evaluating Fidelity ETF should focus on Fidelity Crypto's earnings quality and revenue momentum.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown and recovery analysis for Fidelity Crypto reveals how the fund behaves during stress episodes and subsequent rebounds. Recovery duration matters as much as drawdown depth in the context of analysis of performance resilience.

Fidelity Crypto Industry values are built from fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Michael Smolkin, Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors