First Trust Dow Etf Performance
| FDNI Etf | USD 34.33 0.14 0.41% |
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.84, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days First Trust Dow has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Etf's basic indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the Etf traders. ...more
1 | Movement as an Input in Quant Signal Sets - news.stocktradersdaily.com | 11/05/2025 |
2 | Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning - news.stocktradersdaily.com | 12/08/2025 |
3 | First Trust Dow Jones International Internet ETF Short Interest Update | 12/30/2025 |
4 | Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in FDNI Response - Stock Traders Daily | 01/22/2026 |
First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,717 in First Trust Dow on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (284.00) from holding First Trust Dow or give up 7.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Dow is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.2133% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
3 y Volatility 26.52 | 200 Day MA 34.5793 | 1 y Volatility 19.36 | 50 Day MA 34.4966 | Inception Date 2018-11-05 |
First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 34.33 | 90 days | 34.33 | about 68.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.74 (This First Trust Dow probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.84. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Dow will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Dow has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. First Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Dow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Dow, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
First Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Dow can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Trust Dow generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in FDNI Response - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund created five year return of -7.0% | |
| First Trust Dow retains 99.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
First Trust Fundamentals Growth
First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.
| Total Asset | 29.23 M | |||
About First Trust Performance
By evaluating First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks and depositary receipts that comprise the index. FT DJ is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.| First Trust Dow generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in FDNI Response - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund created five year return of -7.0% | |
| First Trust Dow retains 99.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Dow. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Understanding First Trust Dow requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what First Trust's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Trust's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Trust's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.