Phoenix New Media Stock Performance

FENG Stock  USD 1.84  0.01  0.54%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.65, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Phoenix New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Phoenix New is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Phoenix New Media has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to check Phoenix New's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Phoenix New Media performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Phoenix New Media has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:6
Dividend Date
2020-12-22
Ex Dividend Date
2020-12-23
Last Split Date
2022-05-23
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Begin Period Cash Flow534.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities127.5 M

Phoenix New Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  234.00  in Phoenix New Media on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (50.00) from holding Phoenix New Media or give up 21.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Phoenix New Media is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.091% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Phoenix, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Phoenix New is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.1 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Phoenix New Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Phoenix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.84 90 days 1.84 
about 86.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phoenix New to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.67 (This Phoenix New Media probability density function shows the probability of Phoenix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Phoenix New has a beta of 0.65. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Phoenix New average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Phoenix New Media will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Phoenix New Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Phoenix New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Phoenix New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phoenix New Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.844.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.564.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.854.92
Details

Phoenix New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phoenix New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phoenix New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phoenix New Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phoenix New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Phoenix New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phoenix New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phoenix New Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phoenix New Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Phoenix New Media may become a speculative penny stock
Phoenix New Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 703.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 347.45 M.
Phoenix New Media currently holds about 1.32 B in cash with (44.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
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Phoenix New Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phoenix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phoenix New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phoenix New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.9 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Phoenix New Fundamentals Growth

Phoenix Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Phoenix New, and Phoenix New fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Phoenix Stock performance.

About Phoenix New Performance

By analyzing Phoenix New's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Phoenix New's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Phoenix New has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Phoenix New has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 6.93  6.58 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.03)
Return On Capital Employed(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.05)(0.05)

Things to note about Phoenix New Media performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Phoenix New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Phoenix New Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phoenix New Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Phoenix New Media may become a speculative penny stock
Phoenix New Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 703.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 347.45 M.
Phoenix New Media currently holds about 1.32 B in cash with (44.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Truth About LightInTheBox Holding Is This Viral Cheap-Drip Site Actually Worth Your Money - AD HOC NEWS
Evaluating Phoenix New's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Phoenix New's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Phoenix New's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Phoenix New's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Phoenix New's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Phoenix New's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Phoenix New's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Phoenix New's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Phoenix New's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Phoenix New's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Phoenix New's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Phoenix Stock analysis

When running Phoenix New's price analysis, check to measure Phoenix New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phoenix New is operating at the current time. Most of Phoenix New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phoenix New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phoenix New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phoenix New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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