Ferrum SA (Argentina) Performance

FERR Stock  ARS 29.30  0.40  1.38%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ferrum SA holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.14, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ferrum SA will likely underperform. Please check Ferrum SA's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Ferrum SA's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ferrum SA are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Ferrum SA sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow6.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.5 B
  

Ferrum SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,580  in Ferrum SA on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  350.00  from holding Ferrum SA or generate 13.57% return on investment over 90 days. Ferrum SA is generating 0.3079% of daily returns and assumes 4.8071% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Ferrum, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ferrum SA is expected to generate 6.42 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Ferrum SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ferrum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.30 90 days 29.30 
about 74.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ferrum SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.55 (This Ferrum SA probability density function shows the probability of Ferrum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.14 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ferrum SA will likely underperform. Additionally Ferrum SA has an alpha of 0.4171, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ferrum SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ferrum SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ferrum SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0628.9033.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4424.2829.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0128.8533.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.1830.1734.16
Details

Ferrum SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ferrum SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ferrum SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ferrum SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ferrum SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.14
σ
Overall volatility
4.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Ferrum SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ferrum SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ferrum SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ferrum SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ferrum SA Fundamentals Growth

Ferrum Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ferrum SA, and Ferrum SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ferrum Stock performance.

About Ferrum SA Performance

By analyzing Ferrum SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ferrum SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ferrum SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ferrum SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ferrum Sociedad Anonima de Ceramica y Metalurgia offers sanitary ware products. It offers tapas and seats, public spaces, laundry products, sinks and lavatories, bathroom accessories, vanitories, bathtubs, screens, receptacles, cabins, and spare parts. FERRUM SA is traded on Buenos-Aires Stock Exchange in Argentina.

Things to note about Ferrum SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ferrum SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ferrum SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ferrum SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Ferrum SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ferrum SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ferrum SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ferrum SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ferrum SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ferrum SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ferrum SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ferrum SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ferrum SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ferrum SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ferrum SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ferrum Stock analysis

When running Ferrum SA's price analysis, check to measure Ferrum SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferrum SA is operating at the current time. Most of Ferrum SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferrum SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferrum SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferrum SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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