Fidelity Freedom 2045 Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FFFGX Fund  USD 16.03  -0.28  -1.72%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.75, which alludes to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, FIDELITY FREEDOM's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding FIDELITY FREEDOM is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Contained
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Fidelity Freedom 2045 rank lower than 6% of all funds and fund portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat strong technical and fundamental indicators, FIDELITY FREEDOM is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
1
Fidelity Freedom 2045 Fund Q3 2025 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
12/15/2025
Expense Ratio Date1st of June 2025
Expense Ratio0.6800
  

FIDELITY FREEDOM Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,577 in Fidelity Freedom 2045 on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 54.00 from holding Fidelity Freedom 2045 or generated 3.42% return on investment over 90 days. Fidelity Freedom 2045 is currently producing a 0.0589% return and carries 0.7464% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than FIDELITY, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Assuming a 90-day horizon FIDELITY FREEDOM is expected to generate 0.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.04 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Fidelity Freedom 2045

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Fidelity Freedom 2045 extending back to June 07, 2006. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of FIDELITY FREEDOM stands at 16.03, as last reported on the 12th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 16.03 and the lowest price hitting 16.03 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Investors have long observed that FIDELITY Mutual Fund price tends to fluctuate around a central value over time. This mean reversion pattern is a cornerstone of many forecasting models. However, periods of persistent mispricing in some funds suggest that additional risk factors may account for the delayed correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
16.03 90 days 16.03
about 80.13
A normal distribution analysis suggests that the odds of FIDELITY FREEDOM moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 80.13 (The distribution above shows where FIDELITY Mutual Fund price is most likely to fall within the next 90 days based on historical volatility).
Assuming a 90-day horizon FIDELITY FREEDOM has a beta of 0.75. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FIDELITY FREEDOM's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Fidelity Freedom 2045 is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Fidelity Freedom 2045 has an alpha of 0.0641, implying that it can generate a 0.0641 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   FIDELITY FREEDOM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FIDELITY FREEDOM

Forecasting Fidelity Freedom 2045 involves applying various models to estimate future price behavior. While no method can consistently predict the fund market with certainty, the discipline of building and testing forecasts sharpens investment thinking. Combining several approaches and cross-checking results offers a more balanced view of potential outcomes.
Mean reversion in FIDELITY FREEDOM's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5616.3117.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1316.8817.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1815.9316.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.1916.6817.17
Details
A rigorous investment case for FIDELITY FREEDOM requires more than studying its own financials. Benchmarking FIDELITY FREEDOM's performance, valuation, and risk profile against competitors is essential to validate any investment thesis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The mutual fund market has gone through extended periods of turbulence over the past two decades. FIDELITY FREEDOM has not been immune to these swings. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios. Investors can protect against downside risk in Fidelity Freedom 2045 by monitoring FIDELITY FREEDOM's fundamental risk indicators and maintaining appropriate hedges.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

FIDELITY FREEDOM Alerts and Suggestions

Setting up alerts on FIDELITY FREEDOM ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. These notifications for Fidelity Freedom 2045 help investors make timely decisions in response to significant fund events.
The fund retains 88.51% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

FIDELITY FREEDOM Fundamentals Growth

FIDELITY FREEDOM's fundamentals serve as the primary lens through which investors evaluate FIDELITY Mutual Fund. Metrics such as earnings growth, revenue consistency, margin trends, and balance sheet strength collectively determine market sentiment toward FIDELITY Mutual Fund.

About FIDELITY FREEDOM Performance Analysis

FIDELITY FREEDOM performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Drawdown profile frames downside sensitivity and recovery characteristics.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Fidelity Freedom 2045 is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.

FIDELITY Mutual Fund is Curated By:

Rifka KatsRifka Kats · Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board