First Trust Germany Etf Performance

FGM Etf  USD 68.12  0.44  0.64%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.87, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Trust returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Germany are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, First Trust displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Germanys manufacturing sector continues to tread water - Seeking Alpha
11/03/2025
2
FGM Announces New Commercial Leadership in Steel and Aluminum Markets
11/18/2025
3
German Industrial Production Shows Tentative Signs Of Bottoming Out - Seeking Alpha
12/08/2025
4
Germanys flash PMI numbers show business activity growth in January - Seeking Alpha
01/23/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,814  in First Trust Germany on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  998.00  from holding First Trust Germany or generate 17.17% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Germany is generating 0.2694% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.0057% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Germany extending back to February 17, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 68.12, as last reported on the 29th of January, with the highest price reaching 68.44 and the lowest price hitting 67.91 during the day.
3 y Volatility
17.88
200 Day MA
57.237
1 y Volatility
12.47
50 Day MA
61.8182
Inception Date
2012-02-14
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68.12 90 days 68.12 
about 1.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.53 (This First Trust Germany probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.87. This usually indicates First Trust Germany market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow. Additionally First Trust Germany has an alpha of 0.1959, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Germany. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.0868.0969.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.3172.5573.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.7369.7370.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.9264.7568.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Trust. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Trust's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Trust's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Trust Germany.

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Germany, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.87
σ
Overall volatility
3.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Germany can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By examining First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Trust is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks, depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts and preferred shares that comprise the index. Germany Alphadex is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.
The fund retains 98.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether First Trust Germany is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Germany. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Investors evaluate First Trust Germany using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Trust's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Trust's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, First Trust's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.