First Trust Alphadex Etf Performance

FHU Etf  CAD 28.44  1.69  5.61%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.31, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Trust AlphaDEX has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the ETF investors. ...more
  

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,431  in First Trust AlphaDEX on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (587.00) from holding First Trust AlphaDEX or give up 17.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust AlphaDEX is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.4971% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 13% of all etfs have less volatile historical return distribution than First Trust, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.97 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.2 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust AlphaDEX extending back to October 29, 2014. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 28.44, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 28.70 and the lowest price hitting 28.44 during the day.
3 y Volatility
22.14
200 Day MA
22.9225
1 y Volatility
27.07
50 Day MA
19.5494
Inception Date
2014-10-29
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.44 90 days 28.44 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This First Trust AlphaDEX probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust AlphaDEX will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust AlphaDEX has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust AlphaDEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9528.4429.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6929.1830.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.2428.7230.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.4630.4732.48
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust AlphaDEX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust AlphaDEX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Trust AlphaDEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.39% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By examining First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Trust is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The First Trust ETF seeks to replicate, to the extent possible, the performance of the StrataQuant Utilities Index , net of expenses. FIRST TRUST is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada.
First Trust AlphaDEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.39% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in First Etf

First Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trust security.