FileCoin Performance

FIL Crypto  USD 0.95  0.01  1.04%   
The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.13, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning FileCoin are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, FileCoin is expected to outperform it slightly.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days FileCoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's essential indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for FileCoin shareholders. ...more
1
Crypto investors got almost everything they wanted in 2025, yet prices still fell. Theyre looking for more help from the White House in 2026. - MarketWatch
12/24/2025
  

FileCoin Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  167.00  in FileCoin on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (72.00) from holding FileCoin or give up 43.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. FileCoin is producing return of less than zero assuming 5.3798% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 48% of all crypto coins have less volatile historical return distribution than FileCoin, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FileCoin is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

FileCoin Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FileCoin Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.95 90 days 0.95 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FileCoin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This FileCoin probability density function shows the probability of FileCoin Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FileCoin has a beta of -1.13. This usually indicates Additionally FileCoin has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FileCoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FileCoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FileCoin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.916.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.926.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.176.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.220.941.65
Details

FileCoin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FileCoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FileCoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FileCoin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FileCoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

FileCoin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FileCoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FileCoin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FileCoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FileCoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FileCoin has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency

About FileCoin Performance

By analyzing FileCoin's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FileCoin's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FileCoin has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FileCoin has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
FileCoin is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
FileCoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FileCoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FileCoin has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
When determining whether FileCoin offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FileCoin's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Filecoin Crypto.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in FileCoin. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FileCoin's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine FileCoin value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, FileCoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.