Federated Government Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FITSX Fund  USD 8.91  0.02  0.22%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0184, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Federated Government are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Federated Government is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Federated Government Income has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Federated Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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09/19/2024
Expense Ratio Date31st of March 2023
Expense Ratio0.8400
  

Federated Government Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  915.00  in Federated Government Income on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (24.00) from holding Federated Government Income or give up 2.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. Federated Government Income is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.3165% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Federated, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Government is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.31 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Federated Government Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
8.91
Please note that Federated Government's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Federated Government shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.93 per share. The current price of the fund is $8.91. We determine the value of Federated Government from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Federated Government is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Federated Mutual Fund. However, Federated Government's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.91 Real  8.93 Hype  8.91 Naive  8.94
The intrinsic value of Federated Government's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Federated Government's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.93
Real Value
9.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Federated Government Income helps investors to forecast how Federated mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Federated Government more accurately as focusing exclusively on Federated Government's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.828.918.99
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.598.919.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.628.949.26
Details

Federated Government Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Government's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Federated Government Income, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Federated Government's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1296

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Negative ReturnsFITSX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.32
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.13
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Federated Government is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Federated Government by adding Federated Government to a well-diversified portfolio.

Federated Government Fundamentals Growth

Federated Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federated Government, and Federated Government fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federated Mutual Fund performance.

About Federated Government Performance

Evaluating Federated Government's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Federated Government has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federated Government has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests primarily in mortgage-backed securities of investment-grade quality and seeks to provide returns consistent with investments in the market for U.S. home mortgages. It will invest in MBS that are issued or guaranteed by U.S. government agencies or U.S. government-sponsored enterprises . The fund also may invest in U.S. government securities and certain derivative instruments.

Things to note about Federated Government performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Federated Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federated Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federated Government generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund retains about 5.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Federated Government's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federated Government's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Federated Government's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federated Government's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federated Government's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federated Government's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federated Government's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federated Government's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Federated Government's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federated Government's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federated Government's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Government security.
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