CVR Energy (Germany) Performance

FL9 Stock  EUR 17.47  0.58  3.21%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.61, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CVR Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CVR Energy is likely to outperform the market. At this point, CVR Energy has a negative expected return of -0.82%. Please make sure to confirm CVR Energy's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if CVR Energy performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CVR Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-02
1
Will CVR Energy Inc. stock outperform global peers - Portfolio Return Report Precise Swing Trade Entry Alerts - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
2
Leadership Shift to Insider Mark Pytosh Could Be A Game Changer For CVR Energy - simplywall.st
01/05/2026
3
Why CVR Energy Inc. stock is trending among retail traders - July 2025 PostEarnings Growth Focused Stock Reports - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
4
CVR Energy Stock Price Down 7.1 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
5
CVR Energy Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat
02/11/2026
6
Is CVR Energy Pricing Reflect Its DCF Upside After Recent Share Price Weakness - simplywall.st
02/17/2026
7
CVR Energy From Rising Tiger To Falling Knife - Seeking Alpha
02/20/2026
  

CVR Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,961  in CVR Energy on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,214) from holding CVR Energy or give up 41.0% of portfolio value over 90 days. CVR Energy is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.1985% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 28% of traded stocks are less volatile than CVR, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon CVR Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.29 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.26 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

CVR Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CVR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.47 90 days 17.47 
about 89.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVR Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.67 (This CVR Energy probability density function shows the probability of CVR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CVR Energy has a beta of -0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CVR Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CVR Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CVR Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CVR Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CVR Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVR Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9416.1419.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8317.0320.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5016.7019.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.6-0.010.25
Details

CVR Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVR Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVR Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVR Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVR Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
4.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

CVR Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVR Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVR Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CVR Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CVR Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CVR Energy has accumulated €12 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: CVR Energy From Rising Tiger To Falling Knife - Seeking Alpha

CVR Energy Fundamentals Growth

CVR Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CVR Energy, and CVR Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CVR Stock performance.

About CVR Energy Performance

By analyzing CVR Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CVR Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CVR Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CVR Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
CVR Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States. CVR Energy, Inc. was founded in 1906 and is based in Sugar Land, Texas. CVR ENERGY operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 1450 people.

Things to note about CVR Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CVR Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CVR Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CVR Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CVR Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CVR Energy has accumulated €12 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: CVR Energy From Rising Tiger To Falling Knife - Seeking Alpha
Evaluating CVR Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CVR Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CVR Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CVR Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CVR Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CVR Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CVR Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CVR Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CVR Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CVR Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CVR Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for CVR Stock analysis

When running CVR Energy's price analysis, check to measure CVR Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVR Energy is operating at the current time. Most of CVR Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVR Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVR Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVR Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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