Federal Life Group Stock Performance
| FLFG Stock | USD 16.25 0.00 0.00% |
Federal Life holds a performance score of 11 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0249, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Federal Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Federal Life is likely to outperform the market. Use Federal Life jensen alpha, and the relationship between the standard deviation and skewness , to analyze future returns on Federal Life.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federal Life Group are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent technical and fundamental indicators, Federal Life reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -2.9 M |
Federal |
Federal Life Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 950.00 in Federal Life Group on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 675.00 from holding Federal Life Group or generate 71.05% return on investment over 90 days. Federal Life Group is currently generating 1.135% in daily expected returns and assumes 7.8795% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 70% of pink sheets are less volatile than Federal, and 78% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Federal Life Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Federal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 16.25 | 90 days | 16.25 | about 8.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Life to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.43 (This Federal Life Group probability density function shows the probability of Federal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Federal Life Group has a beta of -0.0249. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Federal Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Federal Life Group is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Federal Life Group has an alpha of 1.0904, implying that it can generate a 1.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Federal Life Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Life Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Federal Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Life Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Federal Life Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Life Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Life Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Federal Life Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Federal Life Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.94 M. | |
| Federal Life Group currently holds about 23.84 M in cash with (7.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.75. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fortitude Golds Isabella Pearl Power Grid Construction Commences - Stock Titan |
Federal Life Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 223.7 M |
Federal Life Fundamentals Growth
Federal Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal Life, and Federal Life fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.1 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.01 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.23) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.23) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 48.54 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.53 M | |||
| Price To Earning | (7.38) X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.85 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.52 X | |||
| Revenue | 20.82 M | |||
| EBITDA | (4.58 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 23.84 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 6.75 X | |||
| Debt To Equity | 5.55 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 16.86 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.52 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.24) X | |||
| Total Asset | 279.73 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | 21.22 M | |||
About Federal Life Performance
By analyzing Federal Life's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Federal Life's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Federal Life has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federal Life has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Federal Life Group, Inc., through its subsidiary Federal Life Insurance Company, provides life insurance and annuity products in the United States. Federal Life Group, Inc operates as a subsidiary of Insurance Capital Group, LLC. Federal Life operates under InsuranceLife classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 50 people.Things to note about Federal Life Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Federal Life Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Life Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Federal Life Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Federal Life Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.94 M. | |
| Federal Life Group currently holds about 23.84 M in cash with (7.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.75. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fortitude Golds Isabella Pearl Power Grid Construction Commences - Stock Titan |
- Analyzing Federal Life's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal Life's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Federal Life's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Federal Life's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal Life's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal Life's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Federal Life's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Federal Pink Sheet analysis
When running Federal Life's price analysis, check to measure Federal Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Life is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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