Fluence Energy Stock Performance

FLNC Stock  USD 15.06  0.48  3.09%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.71, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fluence Energy will likely underperform. At this point, Fluence Energy has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Fluence Energy's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the downside variance and daily balance of power , to decide if Fluence Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Fluence Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.07)
Five Day Return
(4.07)
Year To Date Return
(32.46)
Ten Year Return
(55.60)
All Time Return
(55.60)
1
Fluence Energys Recent Downgrades Assessing Market Reactions - StocksToTrade
12/17/2025
2
Disposition of 10902 shares by Ahmed Pasha of Fluence Energy subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
3
Strong Backlog Growth And Margin Expansion Could Be A Game Changer For Fluence Energy
01/12/2026
4
Fluence Energy CEO Pay Rise And Investor Moves Reframe Risk And Alignment
01/30/2026
5
Fluence Energy Misses Q4 CY2025 Revenue Estimates, Stock Drops 11.5
02/04/2026
6
Fluence Energy reaffirms 3.4B revenue midpoint guidance as U.S. order momentum accelerates
02/05/2026
7
Fluence Energy, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
02/06/2026
8
Essex Investment Management Co. LLC Acquires Shares of 53,185 Fluence Energy, Inc. FLNC
02/11/2026
9
Fluence Energy Faces Margin Strain Yet Builds Record Storage Backlog
02/13/2026
10
Acquisition by Nebreda Julian of 95987 shares of Fluence Energy at 17.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/18/2026
11
CenterBook Partners LP Purchases 223,099 Shares of Fluence Energy, Inc. FLNC - MarketBeat
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow518.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-29.8 M

Fluence Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,996  in Fluence Energy on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (490.00) from holding Fluence Energy or give up 24.55% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fluence Energy is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.2157% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 64% of stocks are less volatile than Fluence, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fluence Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 9.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Fluence Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fluence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.06 90 days 15.06 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fluence Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Fluence Energy probability density function shows the probability of Fluence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.71 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fluence Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Fluence Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fluence Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fluence Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fluence Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.5614.8322.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6116.8824.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9321.2028.46
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.1518.8420.91
Details

Fluence Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fluence Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fluence Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fluence Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fluence Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.71
σ
Overall volatility
4.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Fluence Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fluence Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fluence Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fluence Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fluence Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (67.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.85 M.
Fluence Energy currently holds about 676.95 M in cash with (145.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.92.
Fluence Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: CenterBook Partners LP Purchases 223,099 Shares of Fluence Energy, Inc. FLNC - MarketBeat

Fluence Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fluence Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fluence Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fluence Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding130.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments690.8 M

Fluence Energy Fundamentals Growth

Fluence Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fluence Energy, and Fluence Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fluence Stock performance.

About Fluence Energy Performance

By analyzing Fluence Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Fluence Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Fluence Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fluence Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 97.10  93.41 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.13)(0.12)

Things to note about Fluence Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fluence Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fluence Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fluence Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fluence Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (67.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.85 M.
Fluence Energy currently holds about 676.95 M in cash with (145.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.92.
Fluence Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: CenterBook Partners LP Purchases 223,099 Shares of Fluence Energy, Inc. FLNC - MarketBeat
Evaluating Fluence Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fluence Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fluence Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fluence Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fluence Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fluence Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fluence Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fluence Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fluence Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fluence Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fluence Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Fluence Stock analysis

When running Fluence Energy's price analysis, check to measure Fluence Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fluence Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Fluence Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fluence Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fluence Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fluence Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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