Fluor Stock Performance

FLR Stock  USD 51.08  -3.12  -5.76%   
Fluor has performed against its sector and the broad market over time. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.13%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
3 · Mild
On a recent 90-day basis, Fluor sits below 3% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. Return quality should be judged alongside the volatility required to produce it. Over the recent period, Fluor has shown cautiously positive risk-adjusted returns relative to its volatility. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-5.76
 Five Day Return
-4.38
 Year To Date Return
28.89
 Ten Year Return
-0.20
 All Time Return
278.37
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Dividend Date
2020-04-02
 Ex Dividend Date
2020-02-28
 Last Split Date
2008-07-17

Performance Related Modules

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 4,825 in Fluor on February 7, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 283.00 , a return of 5.87% over 90 days. Fluor is generating a 0.1307% daily return assuming volatility of 2.86% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Fluor exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 75% of comparable stocks, and FLR delivers lower expected returns than 98% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Over a 90-day investment horizon, FLR generates 3.08 times more return on investment than the market. However, FLR is 3.08 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.05% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like Fluor Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction. Periods of persistent mispricing in some stocks highlight the role of additional risk in pricing dynamics. This framework supports more structured thinking about where Fluor Stock price is likely to settle over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
51.08 90 days 51.08
about 17.24 %
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Fluor moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 17.24 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Fluor distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Fluor Stock over a 90-day period).
Over a 90-day investment horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.61 . This usually indicates when the benchmark rises, FLR tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Fluor tends to underperform. Additionally, Fluor has an alpha of 0.1675, implying that it can generate a 0.1675 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Fluor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fluor

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast Fluor within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by Fluor predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in Fluor price data. For Fluor, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Fluor's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Fluor's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Mean reversion in Fluor's is often observed around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for Fluor shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
48.1451.0353.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
27.5230.4156.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.0754.9657.85
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
48.6953.5059.39
Details
Fluor is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Fluor leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set. Benchmarking earnings quality and balance sheet strength against peers provides additional valuation context. Fluor's relative positioning within the peer group reflects its competitive dynamics as currently priced by the market.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Fluor investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Fluor. Watching for changes in Fluor's volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of Fluor risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.61
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Fluor through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Fluor notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of Fluor through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of Fluor cannot match.
FLR reported last year's revenue of $15.5 billion. Reported Net Loss for the year was -$51 million with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of -$120 million.
Fluor has about $2.39 billion in cash as of latest reporting with -$387 million of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.44.
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will LEUs 2026 Beat and HALEU Expansion Shift Centrus Energys Nuclear Fuel Narrative

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Fluor's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Fluor's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for Fluor reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are informative when reviewed consistently alongside Fluor's fundamental data.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding176 million
Cash And Short Term Investments3.77 billion

Fluor Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Fluor Stock based on their assessment of Fluor's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Fluor Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping Fluor Stock. Long-term performance of Fluor Stock depends on Fluor's ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Fluor measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Downside movements have historically remained relatively contained. Fluor shows ROE of -1.71%, ROA of -1.94% (TTM) vs -0.59% (last reported).

Fluor data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board