First Quantum Minerals Stock Performance

FM Stock  CAD 38.49  3.23  7.74%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Quantum holds a performance score of 16. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.6, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Quantum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Quantum is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Quantum's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether First Quantum's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Quantum Minerals are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, First Quantum displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
5:1
Dividend Date
2023-09-19
Ex Dividend Date
2023-08-25
Last Split Date
2011-08-09
1
How higher bond yields impact First Quantum Minerals Ltd. stock - Trade Risk Assessment Low Risk High Reward Ideas - newser.com
11/14/2025
2
Is First Quantum Minerals Ltd. stock overpriced at current multiples - Quarterly Investment Review Real-Time Buy Zone Alerts - Newser
12/02/2025
3
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Analysts - MarketBeat
12/19/2025
4
First Quantum to Sell Spains Cobre Las Cruces Mine for Up to 190 Million - TipRanks
12/24/2025
5
First Quantum Minerals Is Suddenly Everywhere Is FM Stock Really Worth the Hype - AD HOC NEWS
12/31/2025
6
First Quantum Minerals Reaches New 1-Year High - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
7
Investment Analysis and Advice - Stock Traders Daily
01/16/2026
8
Assessing First Quantum Minerals Valuation After New 2025 Results And 2026 To 2028 Production Guidance - simplywall.st
01/21/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow959 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 B
  

First Quantum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,848  in First Quantum Minerals on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,001  from holding First Quantum Minerals or generate 35.15% return on investment over 90 days. First Quantum Minerals is currently producing 0.5193% returns and takes up 2.5549% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 22% of traded stocks are less volatile than First, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Quantum is expected to generate 3.42 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

First Quantum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.49 90 days 38.49 
about 18.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Quantum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.27 (This First Quantum Minerals probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Quantum has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Quantum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Quantum Minerals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Quantum Minerals has an alpha of 0.4636, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Quantum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Quantum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Quantum Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Quantum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.7638.3140.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.6443.1745.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.9338.4841.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.070.04
Details

First Quantum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Quantum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Quantum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Quantum Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Quantum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
4.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

First Quantum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Quantum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Quantum Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (108 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.45 B.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: National Bankshares Issues Positive Forecast for Capstone Copper Stock Price - MarketBeat

First Quantum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Quantum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Quantum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding834.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments843 M

First Quantum Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Quantum, and First Quantum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Quantum Performance

By examining First Quantum's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Quantum's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Quantum is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 147.88  113.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about First Quantum Minerals performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Quantum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Quantum Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (108 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.45 B.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: National Bankshares Issues Positive Forecast for Capstone Copper Stock Price - MarketBeat
Evaluating First Quantum's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Quantum's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Quantum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Quantum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Quantum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Quantum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Quantum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Quantum's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Quantum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Quantum's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Quantum's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in First Stock

First Quantum financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Quantum security.