Northern Lights Etf Performance

FMCE Etf   26.31  0.04  0.15%   
The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northern Lights are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northern Lights is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Northern Lights has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Northern Lights is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
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FM Compounders Equity ETF to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.78
12/16/2025
 
Northern Lights dividend paid on 24th of December 2025
12/24/2025

Northern Lights Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,621  in Northern Lights on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding Northern Lights or generate 0.38% return on investment over 90 days. Northern Lights is currently generating 0.009% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.7456% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 6% of etfs are less volatile than Northern, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northern Lights is expected to generate 7.0 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.01 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Northern Lights Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Northern Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.31 90 days 26.31 
about 61.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Lights to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.13 (This Northern Lights probability density function shows the probability of Northern Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northern Lights has a beta of -0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Northern Lights are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Northern Lights is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Northern Lights has an alpha of 0.0645, implying that it can generate a 0.0645 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northern Lights Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Lights

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Lights. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northern Lights' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.5626.3127.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5224.2728.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.0126.7627.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.0226.2726.44
Details

Northern Lights Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Lights is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Lights' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Lights, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Lights within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Northern Lights Fundamentals Growth

Northern Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Lights, and Northern Lights fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Etf performance.

About Northern Lights Performance

By analyzing Northern Lights' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Northern Lights' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Northern Lights has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Lights has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Northern Lights is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NYSE ARCA exchange.