First Trust Managed Etf Performance

FMF Etf  USD 48.16  0.48  0.99%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.31, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Managed are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable primary indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
1
Future Minerals Forum Announces Partnership with BMO to Drive Investment in the Global Metals Mining Sector
11/05/2025
2
Future Minerals Forum Unveils Three-Day Program for Its 5th Largest Edition
11/21/2025
3
American Resources Corporation and ReElement Technologies Announces January Conference and Event Schedule
01/06/2026
4
FMFs 5th Ministerial Roundtable Concludes with 100 Governments and 59 Multilaterals, Laying Framework for a New Age of Minerals Development
01/14/2026
5
5th Future Minerals Forum Concludes with 21,500 Attendees, Agreements Worth USD 26.6 Billion
01/27/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,649  in First Trust Managed on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  167.00  from holding First Trust Managed or generate 3.59% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Managed is generating 0.0592% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.5105% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 4% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.46 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Managed extending back to August 05, 2013. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 48.16, as last reported on the 31st of January, with the highest price reaching 49.43 and the lowest price hitting 48.03 during the day.
3 y Volatility
6.28
200 Day MA
47.1455
1 y Volatility
6.44
50 Day MA
48.0512
Inception Date
2013-08-01
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.16 90 days 48.16 
about 8.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.9 (This First Trust Managed probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Managed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Managed has an alpha of 0.0193, implying that it can generate a 0.0193 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.6648.1748.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.5048.0148.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.3847.8948.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.7547.9949.23
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Managed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 5th Future Minerals Forum Concludes with 21,500 Attendees, Agreements Worth USD 26.6 Billion
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.
Total Asset194.51 M

About First Trust Performance

By analyzing First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to achieve positive returns that are not directly correlated to broad market equity or fixed income returns. Mstar Managed is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 5th Future Minerals Forum Concludes with 21,500 Attendees, Agreements Worth USD 26.6 Billion
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
When determining whether First Trust Managed is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Managed. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
First Trust Managed's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate First Trust's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since First Trust's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.