First National Financial Performance

FNLIFDelisted Stock  USD 34.22  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First National is expected to be smaller as well. First National Financial right now shows a risk of 0.0%. Please confirm First National Financial value at risk, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price , to decide if First National Financial will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First National Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable forward indicators, First National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow-682.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-12.7 M
Free Cash Flow-434.9 M
  

First National Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,422  in First National Financial on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding First National Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. First National Financial is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

First National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 34.22 90 days 34.22 
about 53.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.45 (This First National Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First National has a beta of 0.4. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First National Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First National Financial has an alpha of 0.3258, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First National Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.2234.2234.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.2529.2537.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.3234.3234.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.4334.2334.37
Details

First National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First National Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

First National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First National Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First National is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
First National has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
First National Financial has accumulated about 2.05 B in cash with (402.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.21.
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

First National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60 M
Dividends Paid137.9 M

First National Fundamentals Growth

First Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First National, and First National fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Pink Sheet performance.

About First National Performance

By analyzing First National's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First National's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First National has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First National has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
First National Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, originates, underwrites, and services commercial and residential mortgages in Canada. First National Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. First Natl operates under Mortgage Finance classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 1729 people.

Things to note about First National Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for First National Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First National is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
First National has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
First National Financial has accumulated about 2.05 B in cash with (402.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.21.
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating First National's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First National's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing First National's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First National's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First National's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First National's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First National's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First National's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into First National's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First National's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First National's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Other Consideration for investing in First Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in First National Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First National's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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