Fortinet (Germany) Performance

FO8 Stock  EUR 68.60  0.80  1.18%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fortinet's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fortinet is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Fortinet has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to confirm Fortinet's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Fortinet performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Fortinet has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
  

Fortinet Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,403  in Fortinet on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (543.00) from holding Fortinet or give up 7.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fortinet is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.1818% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded stocks are less volatile than Fortinet, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fortinet is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Fortinet Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fortinet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68.60 90 days 68.60 
about 60.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortinet to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.16 (This Fortinet probability density function shows the probability of Fortinet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fortinet has a beta of 0.27. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fortinet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fortinet will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fortinet has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fortinet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortinet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortinet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.4168.6070.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.9969.1871.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.4771.6673.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.5067.1770.84
Details

Fortinet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortinet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortinet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortinet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortinet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
2.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Fortinet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortinet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortinet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortinet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Fortinet Fundamentals Growth

Fortinet Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fortinet, and Fortinet fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fortinet Stock performance.

About Fortinet Performance

By analyzing Fortinet's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Fortinet's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Fortinet has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fortinet has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Fortinet, Inc. provides broad, integrated, and automated cybersecurity solutions worldwide. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California. FORTINET INC operates under Software - Application classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 6015 people.

Things to note about Fortinet performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortinet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortinet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortinet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Fortinet's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fortinet's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fortinet's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fortinet's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fortinet's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fortinet's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fortinet's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fortinet's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fortinet's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fortinet's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fortinet's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Fortinet Stock analysis

When running Fortinet's price analysis, check to measure Fortinet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortinet is operating at the current time. Most of Fortinet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortinet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortinet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortinet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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