Formula (Israel) Performance

FORTY Stock  ILS 50,890  1,440  2.91%   
Formula has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Formula's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Formula is expected to be smaller as well. Formula right now shows a risk of 1.67%. Please confirm Formula expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Formula will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Formula are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Formula may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow501.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-110.2 M
  

Formula Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,721,749  in Formula on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  367,251  from holding Formula or generate 7.78% return on investment over 90 days. Formula is generating 0.1524% of daily returns and assumes 1.6662% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Formula, and 97% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Formula is expected to generate 2.2 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Formula Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Formula Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50,890 90 days 50,890 
about 57.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Formula to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.12 (This Formula probability density function shows the probability of Formula Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Formula has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Formula average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Formula will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Formula has an alpha of 0.1318, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Formula Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Formula

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formula. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Formula's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50,88850,89050,892
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45,79945,80155,979
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50,88350,88450,886
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49,75352,52655,299
Details

Formula Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Formula is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Formula's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Formula, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Formula within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
3,231
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Formula Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Formula for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Formula can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Formula has accumulated S364.28 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Formula Fundamentals Growth

Formula Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Formula, and Formula fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Formula Stock performance.

About Formula Performance

Assessing Formula's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Formula's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Formula is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Formula Systems Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides software, proprietary and non-proprietary software, and software product marketing and support services. Formula Systems Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Or Yehuda, Israel. FORMULA SYST is traded on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange in Israel.

Things to note about Formula performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Formula for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Formula help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Formula has accumulated S364.28 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Formula's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Formula's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Formula's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Formula's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Formula's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Formula's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Formula's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Formula's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Formula's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Formula's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Formula's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Formula Stock Analysis

When running Formula's price analysis, check to measure Formula's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Formula is operating at the current time. Most of Formula's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Formula's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Formula's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Formula to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.