First Pacific Stock Performance

FPAFY Stock  USD 4.06  0.10  2.53%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Pacific is likely to outperform the market. First Pacific right now shows a risk of 2.26%. Please confirm First Pacific treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if First Pacific will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Pacific has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, First Pacific is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow2.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-730.5 M
  

First Pacific Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  409.00  in First Pacific on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding First Pacific or give up 0.73% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Pacific is currently producing 0.0133% returns and takes up 2.2626% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 20% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Pacific is expected to generate 4.13 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.05 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

First Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.06 90 days 4.06 
about 36.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Pacific to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.05 (This First Pacific probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Pacific has a beta of -0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Pacific is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Pacific has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Pacific Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.804.066.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.143.405.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.934.196.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.763.934.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Pacific. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Pacific's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Pacific's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Pacific.

First Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Pacific, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

First Pacific Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding864.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B

First Pacific Fundamentals Growth

First Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Pacific, and First Pacific fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Pink Sheet performance.

About First Pacific Performance

Evaluating First Pacific's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Pacific has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Pacific has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Pacific Company Limited, an investment management and holding company, engages in the consumer food products, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources businesses in the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. First Pacific Company Limited was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. First Pacific operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 100968 people.

Things to note about First Pacific performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for First Pacific help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating First Pacific's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Pacific's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing First Pacific's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Pacific's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Pacific's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Pacific's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Pacific's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Pacific's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into First Pacific's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Pacific's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Pacific's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis

When running First Pacific's price analysis, check to measure First Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of First Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.