Northern Lights Etf Performance

FPAG Etf  USD 39.91  0.28  0.71%   
The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.88, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Northern Lights returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Northern Lights is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Lights are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Northern Lights may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
1
FPA Global Equity ETF Q3 2025 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
11/17/2025
2
FPA Global Equity ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.3222
12/16/2025
3
and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
01/26/2026

Northern Lights Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,628  in Northern Lights on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  335.00  from holding Northern Lights or generate 9.23% return on investment over 90 days. Northern Lights is currently generating 0.1507% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.8312% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 7% of etfs are less volatile than Northern, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northern Lights is expected to generate 1.03 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Northern Lights extending back to December 17, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Northern Lights stands at 39.91, as last reported on the 10th of February, with the highest price reaching 39.91 and the lowest price hitting 39.63 during the day.
3 y Volatility
12.41
200 Day MA
35.2378
1 y Volatility
11.37
50 Day MA
37.8969
Inception Date
2021-12-16
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Northern Lights Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Northern Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.91 90 days 39.91 
roughly 2.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Lights to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.75 (This Northern Lights probability density function shows the probability of Northern Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northern Lights has a beta of 0.88. This usually indicates Northern Lights market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Northern Lights is expected to follow. Additionally Northern Lights has an alpha of 0.0813, implying that it can generate a 0.0813 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northern Lights Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Lights

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Lights. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.7939.6240.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.6741.6742.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northern Lights. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northern Lights' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northern Lights' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northern Lights.

Northern Lights Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Lights is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Lights' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Lights, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Lights within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
1.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Northern Lights Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Lights for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Lights can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Northern Lights Fundamentals Growth

Northern Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Lights, and Northern Lights fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Etf performance.

About Northern Lights Performance

By analyzing Northern Lights' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Northern Lights' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Northern Lights has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Lights has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Although the adviser has adopted a policy to invest at least 80 percent of its assets in equity securities, the adviser expects to invest, under normal circumstances, at least 95 percent of the funds assets in equity securities. Northern Lights is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether Northern Lights offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Northern Lights' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Northern Lights Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Northern Lights Etf:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northern Lights. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
The market value of Northern Lights is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Lights' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Lights' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Northern Lights' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Lights' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Lights' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Lights is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Northern Lights' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.