Fpa Short Duration Etf Performance

FPAS Etf   25.13  0.03  0.12%   
The etf owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0169, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, FPA Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FPA Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FPA Short Duration are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, FPA Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

FPA Short Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,502  in FPA Short Duration on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  11.00  from holding FPA Short Duration or generate 0.44% return on investment over 90 days. FPA Short Duration is currently generating 0.0074% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.1508% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 1% of etfs are less volatile than FPA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FPA Short is expected to generate 8.49 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 4.98 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

FPA Short Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FPA Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.13 90 days 25.13 
about 56.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FPA Short to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.03 (This FPA Short Duration probability density function shows the probability of FPA Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FPA Short has a beta of 0.0169. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FPA Short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FPA Short Duration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FPA Short Duration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FPA Short Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FPA Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FPA Short Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9825.1325.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9825.1325.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9125.0625.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.0725.1725.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FPA Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FPA Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FPA Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FPA Short Duration.

FPA Short Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FPA Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FPA Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FPA Short Duration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FPA Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0016
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

About FPA Short Performance

Assessing FPA Short's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into FPA Short's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the FPA Short is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.