First Trust Equity Etf Performance

FPX Etf  USD 165.70  0.68  0.41%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.16, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Trust will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Equity are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly sluggish basic indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  15,538  in First Trust Equity on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,032  from holding First Trust Equity or generate 6.64% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Equity is generating 0.1158% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4449% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Equity extending back to April 13, 2006. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 165.70, as last reported on the 22nd of February, with the highest price reaching 166.38 and the lowest price hitting 164.14 during the day.
3 y Volatility
23.31
200 Day MA
155.3133
1 y Volatility
24.05
50 Day MA
166.1166
Inception Date
2006-04-12
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 165.70 90 days 165.70 
about 39.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.5 (This First Trust Equity probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Trust will likely underperform. Additionally First Trust Equity has an alpha of 0.0016, implying that it can generate a 0.001631 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
164.21165.65167.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
163.89165.33166.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
167.93169.38170.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
129.64164.09198.54
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
5.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

Evaluating First Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks that comprise the index. FT US is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
The fund retains 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether First Trust Equity offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Trust's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Trust Equity Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Trust Equity Etf:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Equity. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
The market value of First Trust Equity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, First Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.