Consumer Discretionary Portfolio Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FSCPX Fund  USD 69.69  1.01  1.47%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.03, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Consumer Discretionary returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Consumer Discretionary is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Consumer Discretionary Portfolio are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Consumer Discretionary showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
...more
1
Fidelity Select Consumer Discretionary Portfolio Q3 2024 Review - Seeking Alpha
11/18/2024
Expense Ratio Date29th of April 2023
Expense Ratio0.7600
  

Consumer Discretionary Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,069  in Consumer Discretionary Portfolio on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  900.00  from holding Consumer Discretionary Portfolio or generate 14.83% return on investment over 90 days. Consumer Discretionary Portfolio is currently producing 0.2255% returns and takes up 1.0828% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 9% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Consumer, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Consumer Discretionary is expected to generate 1.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

Consumer Discretionary Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
69.69
Please note that Consumer Discretionary's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Consumer Discretionary shows a prevailing Real Value of $70.12 per share. The current price of the fund is $69.69. We determine the value of Consumer Discretionary from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Consumer Discretionary is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Consumer Mutual Fund. However, Consumer Discretionary's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  69.69 Real  70.12 Hype  69.8 Naive  67.57
The intrinsic value of Consumer Discretionary's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Consumer Discretionary's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
70.12
Real Value
71.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Consumer Discretionary Portfolio helps investors to forecast how Consumer mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Consumer Discretionary more accurately as focusing exclusively on Consumer Discretionary's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.7468.9170.08
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.7169.8070.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
66.4967.5768.66
Details

Consumer Discretionary Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Consumer Discretionary's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Consumer Discretionary Portfolio, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Consumer Discretionary's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2083

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small ReturnsFSCPX
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative Returns

Estimated Market Risk

 1.08
  actual daily
9
91% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.23
  actual daily
4
96% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.21
  actual daily
16
84% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Consumer Discretionary is performing at about 16% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Consumer Discretionary by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Consumer Discretionary Fundamentals Growth

Consumer Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Consumer Discretionary, and Consumer Discretionary fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Consumer Mutual Fund performance.

About Consumer Discretionary Performance

Evaluating Consumer Discretionary's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Consumer Discretionary has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Consumer Discretionary has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in common stocks. It invests at least 80 percent of assets in securities of companies principally engaged in the manufacture and distribution of consumer discretionary products and services. The fund invests in domestic and foreign issuers. It uses fundamental analysis of factors such as each issuers financial condition and industry position, as well as market and economic conditions to select investments. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Consumer Discretionary performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Consumer Discretionary for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Consumer Discretionary help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Fidelity Select Consumer Discretionary Portfolio Q3 2024 Review - Seeking Alpha
The fund retains 99.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Consumer Discretionary's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Consumer Discretionary's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Consumer Discretionary's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Consumer Discretionary's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Consumer Discretionary's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Consumer Discretionary's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Consumer Discretionary's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Consumer Discretionary's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Consumer Discretionary's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Consumer Discretionary's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Consumer Discretionary's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Consumer Mutual Fund

Consumer Discretionary financial ratios help investors to determine whether Consumer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Consumer with respect to the benefits of owning Consumer Discretionary security.
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated