First Trust Smid Etf Performance

FSGS Etf   30.00  0.52  1.70%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.95, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Trust returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Trust SMID has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable technical and fundamental indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
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Travere Therapeutics Announces FDA Extends Review of sNDA for FILSPARI in FSGS
01/13/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,015  in First Trust SMID on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (14.92) from holding First Trust SMID or give up 0.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust SMID is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.9304% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 8% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust SMID extending back to June 26, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 30.00, as last reported on the 12th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 30.00 and the lowest price hitting 30.00 during the day.
3 y Volatility
17.39
200 Day MA
30.4261
1 y Volatility
12.14
50 Day MA
31.0881
Inception Date
2017-06-20
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.00 90 days 30.00 
about 92.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.65 (This First Trust SMID probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.95. This usually indicates First Trust SMID market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow. Additionally First Trust SMID has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust SMID. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.6130.5231.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6430.5531.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Trust. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Trust's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Trust's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Trust SMID.

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust SMID, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust SMID can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Trust SMID generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

Assessing First Trust's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into First Trust's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the First Trust is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Trust is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange.
First Trust SMID generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
When determining whether First Trust SMID offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Trust's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Trust Smid Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Trust Smid Etf:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust SMID. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Investors evaluate First Trust SMID using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Trust's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Trust's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, First Trust's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.