First Solar (Mexico) Performance

FSLR Stock  MXN 3,920  100.00  2.62%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0124, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Solar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Solar is likely to outperform the market. At this point, First Solar has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to confirm First Solar's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if First Solar performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Solar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-99 M
  

First Solar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  499,500  in First Solar on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (107,500) from holding First Solar or give up 21.52% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Solar is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.2411% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 29% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Solar is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

First Solar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,920 90 days 3,920 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Solar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This First Solar probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Solar has a beta of -0.0124. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Solar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Solar is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Solar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Solar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Solar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9173,9203,923
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,9762,9794,312
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,9253,9283,931
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,7894,3354,881
Details

First Solar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Solar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
306.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

First Solar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Solar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Solar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Solar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Apple stock why JPM switch is strategically sound but financially modest - TradingView Track All Markets

First Solar Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Solar, and First Solar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Solar Performance

Evaluating First Solar's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Solar has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Solar has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Solar, Inc. provides photovoltaic solar energy solutions in the United States and internationally. First Solar, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona. FIRST SOLAR operates under Solar classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 6400 people.

Things to note about First Solar performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Solar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Solar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Solar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Apple stock why JPM switch is strategically sound but financially modest - TradingView Track All Markets
Evaluating First Solar's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Solar's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Solar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Solar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Solar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Solar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Solar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Solar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Solar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Solar's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Solar's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Solar's price analysis, check to measure First Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Solar is operating at the current time. Most of First Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.