Firstrand (South Africa) Performance

Firstrand Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  834,800  in Firstrand on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  77,300  from holding Firstrand or generate 9.26% return on investment over 90 days. Firstrand is generating 0.1551% of daily returns and assumes 1.2306% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Firstrand, and 97% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Firstrand is expected to generate 1.65 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Firstrand Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Firstrand has a beta of 0.0346. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Firstrand average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Firstrand will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Firstrand has an alpha of 0.1527, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predictive Modules for Firstrand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firstrand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 9,120 9,121 9,122 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 8,209 10,488 10,490 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 9,194 9,195 9,197 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 8,889 9,077 9,264 Details

Firstrand Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firstrand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firstrand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firstrand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firstrand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Firstrand Price Density Drivers

Firstrand Fundamentals Growth

When running Firstrand's price analysis, check to measure Firstrand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firstrand is operating at the current time. Most of Firstrand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firstrand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firstrand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firstrand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.