Firstrand (South Africa) Performance
| FSR Stock | 9,588 88.00 0.93% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Firstrand holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Firstrand's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Firstrand is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Firstrand's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Firstrand's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Firstrand are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, Firstrand exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 135.1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.3 B |
Firstrand |
Firstrand Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 821,500 in Firstrand on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 137,300 from holding Firstrand or generate 16.71% return on investment over 90 days. Firstrand is generating 0.2636% of daily returns and assumes 1.0768% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 9% of stocks are less volatile than Firstrand, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Firstrand Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Firstrand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9,588 | 90 days | 9,588 | about 5.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Firstrand to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.64 (This Firstrand probability density function shows the probability of Firstrand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Firstrand Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Firstrand
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firstrand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Firstrand Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firstrand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firstrand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firstrand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firstrand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 448.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Firstrand Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Firstrand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Firstrand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firstrand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 145.7 B |
Firstrand Fundamentals Growth
Firstrand Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Firstrand, and Firstrand fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Firstrand Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0179 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.42 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 432.67 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 5.61 B | |||
| Price To Book | 1.93 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.19 X | |||
| Revenue | 114.62 B | |||
| EBITDA | 105.12 B | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 30.66 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.8 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.84 X | |||
| Total Asset | 2 T | |||
About Firstrand Performance
By analyzing Firstrand's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Firstrand's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Firstrand has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Firstrand has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Things to note about Firstrand performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Firstrand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Firstrand help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Evaluating Firstrand's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Firstrand's stock performance include:- Analyzing Firstrand's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Firstrand's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Firstrand's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Firstrand's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Firstrand's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Firstrand's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Firstrand's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Firstrand Stock analysis
When running Firstrand's price analysis, check to measure Firstrand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firstrand is operating at the current time. Most of Firstrand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firstrand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firstrand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firstrand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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