First Trust Morningstar Etf Performance

FSR Etf  CAD 38.06  0.14  0.37%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0072, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Morningstar are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
  

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,468  in First Trust Morningstar on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  338.00  from holding First Trust Morningstar or generate 9.75% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Morningstar is generating 0.1545% of daily returns assuming 0.6263% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 5% of all etfs have less volatile historical return distribution than First Trust, and 97% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust is expected to generate 0.83 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.21 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Morningstar extending back to September 29, 2016. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 38.06, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 38.06 and the lowest price hitting 38.06 during the day.
3 y Volatility
13.71
200 Day MA
29.9836
1 y Volatility
10.97
50 Day MA
31.6016
Inception Date
2016-09-29
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.06 90 days 38.06 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This First Trust Morningstar probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.0072. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Morningstar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Morningstar has an alpha of 0.1067, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Morningstar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4438.0638.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.0434.6641.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.2537.8738.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.1737.3838.60
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Morningstar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By examining First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Trust is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The First Trust ETF seeks to replicate, to the extent possible, the performance of a total return U.S. equities industry sector rotational index, net of expenses. FT DW is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada.