First Trust (Germany) Performance

FTGU Etf  EUR 88.02  0.56  0.63%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.51, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Global are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
  

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,086  in First Trust Global on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  716.00  from holding First Trust Global or generate 8.85% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Global is generating 0.1442% of daily returns assuming 0.7411% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 6% of all etfs have less volatile historical return distribution than First Trust, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust is expected to generate 0.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.05 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Global extending back to May 17, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 88.02, as last reported on the 13th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 89.44 and the lowest price hitting 87.89 during the day.
200 Day MA
81.1868
50 Day MA
85.656
Inception Date
2013-04-09
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 88.02 90 days 88.02 
about 6.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.65 (This First Trust Global probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.51. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Global has an alpha of 0.0588, implying that it can generate a 0.0588 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.2788.0288.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.3887.1396.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.7689.5090.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.8588.2688.67
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
2.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By analyzing First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
First Trust is entity of Germany. It is traded as Etf on F exchange.