First Trust Nasdaq ETF Performance

FTXN ETF

USD 37.82 -0.02 -0.05%

First Trust's total-return profile spans short-term moves to multi-year compounding. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.29%.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Balanced

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Over the last 90 days, First Trust Nasdaq ranks in the bottom 85% of global equities and portfolios on a risk-adjusted return basis. A lower ranking does not preclude recovery, but it does signal that recent efficiency has lagged peers. First Trust has delivered strong risk-adjusted returns over recent months, suggesting the current trend may have further room to run. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,182 in First Trust Nasdaq on February 5, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 602.00 , a return of 18.92% over 90 days. First Trust Nasdaq is currently generating a 0.2912% daily expected return and carries 1.52% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, First Trust exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 87% of comparable etfs, and FTXN has trailed 95% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.

Expected Return

Risk

This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given a 90-day horizon, FTXN generates 1.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, FTXN is 1.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.19% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.02% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Trust ETF price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some ETFs remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds moving above the current price in 90 days
37.82	90 days	37.82	about 13.95 %

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 13.95 %. Over this horizon, the return distribution for this ETF has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for First Trust ETF over the next 90 days).

Given a 90-day horizon, First Trust Nasdaq has a beta of -0.5. This usually indicates that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on First Trust tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, First Trust Nasdaq tends to outperform the market. Additionally, First Trust Nasdaq has an alpha of 0.2485, implying that it can generate a 0.2485 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).

First Trust Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for First Trust

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the ETF market and estimating future values of First Trust Nasdaq. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.

Experienced market participants anticipate that First Trust's price will even out over time. Periods when First Trust's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.

Sentiment

Range

Low	Sentiment	High
36.30	37.82	39.34

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Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Intrinsic	High
33.87	35.39	41.60

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Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
39.17	40.69	42.20

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Bollinger

Band Projection (param)

Lower	Middle Band	Upper
34.19	36.51	38.83

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Competitive analysis for First Trust compares its financial performance and valuation metrics against sector peers. Cross-sectional comparison separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level dynamics.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the ETF market, and First Trust is no exception. First Trust has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.

α	Alpha over Dow Jones	0.25	Details
β	Beta against Dow Jones	-0.5	Details
σ	Overall volatility	1.94	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.18	Details

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Trust ETF prices reflect investors' perceptions of First Trust's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape First Trust ETF market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Trust risk-adjusted performance compares returns to the volatility absorbed while tracking its benchmark. Sharpe and Sortino ratios frame return efficiency relative to total and downside risk.

First Trust Nasdaq data is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board