First Trust Technology Etf Performance
| FXL Etf | USD 169.63 4.49 2.58% |
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.18, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Trust will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days First Trust Technology has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
1 | Is First Trust Technology AlphaDEX ETF a Strong ETF Right Now - Yahoo Finance | 11/26/2025 |
2 | Should You Invest in the First Trust Technology AlphaDEX ETF | 01/05/2026 |
3 | Is First Trust Technology AlphaDEX ETF a Strong ETF Right Now - Yahoo News Malaysia | 01/26/2026 |
First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 17,596 in First Trust Technology on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (633.00) from holding First Trust Technology or give up 3.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Technology is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.3588% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
3 y Volatility 18.92 | 200 Day MA 160.7455 | 1 y Volatility 19.51 | 50 Day MA 170.2742 | Inception Date 2007-05-08 |
First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 169.63 | 90 days | 169.63 | about 57.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.94 (This First Trust Technology probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Trust will likely underperform. Additionally First Trust Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. First Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
First Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is First Trust Technology AlphaDEX ETF a Strong ETF Right Now - Yahoo News Malaysia | |
| The fund retains 99.72% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
First Trust Fundamentals Growth
First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.
| Price To Earning | 21.94 X | |||
| Price To Book | 3.21 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.42 X | |||
| Total Asset | 936.05 M | |||
About First Trust Performance
By examining First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Trust is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks that comprise the index. Technology Alphadex is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.| First Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is First Trust Technology AlphaDEX ETF a Strong ETF Right Now - Yahoo News Malaysia | |
| The fund retains 99.72% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Technology. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
The market value of First Trust Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, First Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.