Fidelity Modity Strategy Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| FYHTX Fund | USD 108.90 2.68 2.52% |
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity Commodity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity Commodity is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fidelity Modity Strategy are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Fidelity Commodity may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
...more| Expense Ratio Date | 29th of September 2025 | |
| Expense Ratio | 0.6300 |
Fidelity |
Fidelity Commodity Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 9,857 in Fidelity Modity Strategy on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,033 from holding Fidelity Modity Strategy or generate 10.48% return on investment over 90 days. Fidelity Modity Strategy is currently producing 0.1727% returns and takes up 1.1398% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Fidelity, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Fidelity Commodity Current Valuation
Fairly Valued
Today
Please note that Fidelity Commodity's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Fidelity Modity Strategy shows a prevailing Real Value of $108.31 per share. The current price of the fund is $108.9. We determine the value of Fidelity Modity Strategy from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Fidelity Commodity is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Fidelity Mutual Fund. However, Fidelity Commodity's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 108.9 | Real 108.31 | Hype 108.9 | Naive 108.15 |
The intrinsic value of Fidelity Commodity's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Fidelity Commodity's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fidelity Modity Strategy helps investors to forecast how Fidelity mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fidelity Commodity more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fidelity Commodity's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Fidelity Commodity Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 108.90 | 90 days | 108.90 | about 5.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Commodity to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.41 (This Fidelity Modity Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Fidelity Commodity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity Commodity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Modity Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity Commodity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidelity Commodity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Commodity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Commodity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Modity Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Commodity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Fidelity Commodity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Commodity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Modity Strategy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 49.76% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Fidelity Commodity Fundamentals Growth
Fidelity Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fidelity Commodity, and Fidelity Commodity fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fidelity Mutual Fund performance.
| Total Asset | 111.09 M | |||
About Fidelity Commodity Performance
Evaluating Fidelity Commodity's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Fidelity Commodity has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fidelity Commodity has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests in commodity-linked derivative instruments, short-term investment-grade debt securities, cash, and cash equivalents. It invests up to 25 percent of assets in a wholly-owned subsidiary organized under the laws of the Cayman Islands that invests in commodity-linked total return swaps based on the value of commodities or commodities indexes and in other commodity-linked derivative instruments. The fund invests in domestic and foreign issuers.Things to note about Fidelity Modity Strategy performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Commodity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Modity Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 49.76% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
- Analyzing Fidelity Commodity's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fidelity Commodity's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Fidelity Commodity's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Fidelity Commodity's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fidelity Commodity's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fidelity Commodity's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Fidelity Commodity's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity Commodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Commodity security.
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