Conservative Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| GCAYX Fund | USD 11.48 0.01 0.09% |
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Conservative Allocation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Conservative Allocation is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Conservative Allocation Fund are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Conservative Allocation is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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CONSERVATIVE |
Conservative Allocation Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,111 in Conservative Allocation Fund on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 37.00 from holding Conservative Allocation Fund or generate 3.33% return on investment over 90 days. Conservative Allocation Fund is currently producing 0.0551% returns and takes up 0.3045% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than CONSERVATIVE, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Conservative Allocation Current Valuation
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Conservative Allocation's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Conservative Allocation shows a prevailing Real Value of $10.51 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.48. We determine the value of Conservative Allocation from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Conservative Allocation is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of CONSERVATIVE Mutual Fund. However, Conservative Allocation's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 11.48 | Real 10.51 | Hype 11.48 | Naive 11.53 |
The intrinsic value of Conservative Allocation's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Conservative Allocation's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Conservative Allocation Fund helps investors to forecast how CONSERVATIVE mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Conservative Allocation more accurately as focusing exclusively on Conservative Allocation's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Conservative Allocation Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of CONSERVATIVE Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.48 | 90 days | 11.48 | about 9.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Conservative Allocation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.47 (This Conservative Allocation Fund probability density function shows the probability of CONSERVATIVE Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Conservative Allocation has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Conservative Allocation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Conservative Allocation Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Conservative Allocation Fund has an alpha of 0.023, implying that it can generate a 0.023 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Conservative Allocation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Conservative Allocation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Conservative Allocation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Conservative Allocation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Conservative Allocation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Conservative Allocation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Conservative Allocation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Conservative Allocation Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Conservative Allocation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Conservative Allocation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Conservative Allocation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Conservative Allocation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 25.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Conservative Allocation Fundamentals Growth
CONSERVATIVE Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Conservative Allocation, and Conservative Allocation fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CONSERVATIVE Mutual Fund performance.
| Total Asset | 569.9 M | ||||
About Conservative Allocation Performance
Evaluating Conservative Allocation's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Conservative Allocation has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Conservative Allocation has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund, primarily through investments in the GuideStone Funds Select Funds , combines a greater percentage of fixed income securities with a smaller percentage of equity securities. The Adviser targets allocating 50-80 percent of the funds assets in the Fixed income select funds, 20-40 percent in the Equity select funds, 0-15 percent in Impact asset class, 0-15 percent in Real assets select funds, and 0-15 percent in Alternative select funds. The Adviser may change the allocation ranges from time to time and may add or eliminate new or existing Select Funds without shareholder approval.Things to note about Conservative Allocation performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Conservative Allocation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Conservative Allocation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 25.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
- Analyzing Conservative Allocation's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Conservative Allocation's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Conservative Allocation's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Conservative Allocation's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Conservative Allocation's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Conservative Allocation's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Conservative Allocation's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in CONSERVATIVE Mutual Fund
Conservative Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether CONSERVATIVE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CONSERVATIVE with respect to the benefits of owning Conservative Allocation security.
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