Genesco Stock Performance
| GCO Stock | USD 28.19 0.14 0.49% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.25, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Genesco will likely underperform. At this point, Genesco has a negative expected return of -0.0709%. Please make sure to check out Genesco's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Genesco performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Genesco has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Genesco is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.49) | Five Day Return (0.21) | Year To Date Return 13.99 | Ten Year Return (56.04) | All Time Return 125.52 |
Last Split Factor 1:1 | Ex Dividend Date 1973-04-09 | Last Split Date 2006-03-15 |
1 | SP Futures Gain With All Eyes on Key U.S. PCE Inflation Data | 12/05/2025 |
2 | Genesco Inc Is Quietly Going Viral But Is GCO Stock a Stealth Cop or Total Drop - AD HOC NEWS | 01/06/2026 |
3 | Genesco Releases FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat | 01/23/2026 |
4 | Genesco NYSEGCO shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 13 percent this week, taking three-year losses to 31 | 01/27/2026 |
5 | Genesco Announces Chief Financial Officer Transition | 01/29/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 4000 shares by Daniel Ewoldsen of Genesco at 42.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/30/2026 |
7 | Genesco Inc. Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest | 02/02/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Andrew Gray of 34579 shares of Genesco subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/05/2026 |
9 | Are Investors Undervaluing Genesco Right Now | 02/10/2026 |
10 | Genesco Inc. Sees Significant Drop in Short Interest - MarketBeat | 02/17/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 35.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -41.1 M |
Genesco Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,260 in Genesco on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (441.00) from holding Genesco or give up 13.53% of portfolio value over 90 days. Genesco is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 5.6203% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 50% of stocks are less volatile than Genesco, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Genesco Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Genesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 28.19 | 90 days | 28.19 | about 58.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genesco to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.69 (This Genesco probability density function shows the probability of Genesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Genesco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Genesco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genesco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genesco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Genesco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genesco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genesco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genesco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genesco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Genesco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genesco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genesco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genesco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Genesco has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.33 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (18.89 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.11 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Jack In The Box Q1 2026 Earnings Preview |
Genesco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genesco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genesco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34 M |
Genesco Fundamentals Growth
Genesco Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Genesco, and Genesco fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Genesco Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0013 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0077 | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 886.21 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 10.79 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 8.39 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.58 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.13 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.33 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.11 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 66.72 M | ||||
| Net Income | (18.89 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 34.01 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.44 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 485.09 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.07 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 47.53 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 87.89 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.22) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 304.32 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.34 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 265.89 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 228.97 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 800.09 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 323.62 M | ||||
About Genesco Performance
By examining Genesco's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Genesco's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Genesco is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 145.32 | 146.85 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.03) | (0.03) |
Things to note about Genesco performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Genesco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Genesco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genesco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Genesco has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.33 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (18.89 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.11 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Jack In The Box Q1 2026 Earnings Preview |
- Analyzing Genesco's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Genesco's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Genesco's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Genesco's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Genesco's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Genesco's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Genesco's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Genesco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services. To learn how to invest in Genesco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Genesco guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Genesco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genesco. Market participants price Genesco higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Genesco data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.272 | Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Genesco requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Genesco's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Genesco's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Genesco's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genesco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genesco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Genesco's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.