Defensive Market Strategies Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GDMZX Fund  USD 11.67  0.14  1.19%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0902, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Defensive Market are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Defensive Market is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Defensive Market Strategies are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Defensive Market may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio0.9200
  

Defensive Market Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,078  in Defensive Market Strategies on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  89.00  from holding Defensive Market Strategies or generate 8.26% return on investment over 90 days. Defensive Market Strategies is currently producing 0.1351% returns and takes up 1.0205% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 9% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Defensive, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Defensive Market is expected to generate 1.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Defensive Market Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
11.67
Please note that Defensive Market's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Defensive Market Str shows a prevailing Real Value of $12.61 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.67. We determine the value of Defensive Market Str from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Defensive Market is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Defensive Mutual Fund. However, Defensive Market's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.67 Real  12.61 Hype  11.52 Naive  11.82
The intrinsic value of Defensive Market's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Defensive Market's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.61
Real Value
13.62
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Defensive Market Strategies helps investors to forecast how Defensive mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Defensive Market more accurately as focusing exclusively on Defensive Market's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9011.6112.33
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5111.5212.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.8011.8212.83
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Defensive Market Strategies extending back to September 01, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Defensive Market stands at 11.67, as last reported on the 5th of February, with the highest price reaching 11.67 and the lowest price hitting 11.67 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Defensive Market Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Defensive Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.67 90 days 11.67 
about 29.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defensive Market to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.01 (This Defensive Market Strategies probability density function shows the probability of Defensive Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Defensive Market Strategies has a beta of -0.0902. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Defensive Market are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Defensive Market Strategies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Defensive Market Strategies has an alpha of 0.1262, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Defensive Market Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Defensive Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defensive Market Str. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5111.5212.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6012.6113.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8011.8212.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9011.6112.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Defensive Market. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Defensive Market's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Defensive Market's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Defensive Market Str.

Defensive Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defensive Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defensive Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defensive Market Strategies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defensive Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Defensive Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defensive Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defensive Market Str can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 11.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Defensive Market Fundamentals Growth

Defensive Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Defensive Market, and Defensive Market fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Defensive Mutual Fund performance.

About Defensive Market Performance

Evaluating Defensive Market's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Defensive Market has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Defensive Market has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
To pursue its investment objective, the fund utilizes principal investment strategies, managed by the funds Sub-Advisers under the ultimate supervision of the Adviser. It allocates 20-80 percent of its assets in Long Only Equity, 0-50 percent in Convertible Bond and 0-35 percent in Long-Short Equity, 0-70 percent in Options Equity.

Things to note about Defensive Market Str performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Defensive Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Defensive Market Str help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 11.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Defensive Market's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Defensive Market's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Defensive Market's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Defensive Market's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Defensive Market's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Defensive Market's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Defensive Market's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Defensive Market's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Defensive Market's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Defensive Market's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Defensive Market's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Defensive Mutual Fund

Defensive Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defensive Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defensive with respect to the benefits of owning Defensive Market security.
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