Genius Sports Stock Performance
| GENI Stock | USD 6.36 0.27 4.43% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.19, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Genius Sports will likely underperform. At this point, Genius Sports has a negative expected return of -0.73%. Please make sure to check out Genius Sports' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Genius Sports performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Genius Sports has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.62) | Five Day Return (30.80) | Year To Date Return (43.51) | Ten Year Return (39.10) | All Time Return (39.10) |
1 | Wells Fargo initiates coverage on Genius Sports stock with Equal Weight rating - Investing.com Nigeria | 11/18/2025 |
2 | GENinCode Stock Price Up .5 percent Whats Next | 12/03/2025 |
3 | Genius Sports Stock Rating Upgraded by Wells Fargo Company | 01/09/2026 |
4 | Should Wall Streets Praise of GENIs Media Strategy Refocus the Genius Sports Investment Debate - simplywall.st | 01/15/2026 |
5 | Wells Fargo See Upside for Genius Sports Limited on Expanding Media and Advertising Opportunity | 01/22/2026 |
6 | Genius Sports Limited Receives 14.95 Consensus Price Target from Brokerages | 01/27/2026 |
7 | IFC Advisors LLC Sells 148,130 Shares of Genius Sports Limited GENI | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Truist Securities reiterates Buy rating on Genius Sports stock with 15 target - Investing.com | 02/02/2026 |
9 | Genius Sports Buys Gambling Media Company Legend in 1.2 Billion Deal | 02/05/2026 |
10 | Genius Sports Finds Support As Markets Turn Restless Nyse Composite | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 125.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -62.7 M |
Genius Sports Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,032 in Genius Sports on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (423.00) from holding Genius Sports or give up 40.99% of portfolio value over 90 days. Genius Sports is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.6241% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Genius, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Genius Sports Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Genius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.36 | 90 days | 6.36 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genius Sports to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Genius Sports probability density function shows the probability of Genius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Genius Sports Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Genius Sports
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genius Sports. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Genius Sports Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genius Sports is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genius Sports' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genius Sports, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genius Sports within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.97 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Genius Sports Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genius Sports for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genius Sports can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genius Sports generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Genius Sports has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Genius Sports has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 510.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 132.91 M. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Genius Sports Finds Support As Markets Turn Restless Nyse Composite |
Genius Sports Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genius Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genius Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.2 M |
Genius Sports Fundamentals Growth
Genius Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Genius Sports, and Genius Sports fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Genius Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.19 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0781 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.20) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.08) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.28 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 238.72 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.01 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.40 X | ||||
| Revenue | 510.89 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 132.91 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 16.28 M | ||||
| Net Income | (63.04 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 138.48 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.71 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 7.51 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.97 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.03 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 81.86 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.48) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.45 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 792.27 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.09 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 87.03 M | ||||
About Genius Sports Performance
By evaluating Genius Sports' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Genius Sports' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Genius Sports has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Genius Sports has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 0.53 | 0.79 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.16) | (0.17) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.11) | (0.12) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.09) | (0.10) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.11) | (0.13) |
Things to note about Genius Sports performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Genius Sports for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Genius Sports help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genius Sports generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Genius Sports has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Genius Sports has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 510.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 132.91 M. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Genius Sports Finds Support As Markets Turn Restless Nyse Composite |
- Analyzing Genius Sports' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Genius Sports' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Genius Sports' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Genius Sports' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Genius Sports' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Genius Sports' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Genius Sports' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Genius Stock analysis
When running Genius Sports' price analysis, check to measure Genius Sports' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genius Sports is operating at the current time. Most of Genius Sports' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genius Sports' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genius Sports' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genius Sports to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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